Saints vs. Buccaneers prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will square off with the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 14 action at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Buccaneers as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Buccaneers game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Saints vs. Bucs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Saints-Buccaneers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Saints and Buccaneers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Buccaneers a 77% chance of beating the Saints in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 24-17.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Saints and Buccaneers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.

Saints vs. Buccaneers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Saints	Buccaneers
Spread	+7.5 (-102)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+330	-400
Total	o41.5 (-105)	u41.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Buccaneers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Saints +7.5	-102
Moneyline	Saints	+330
Total	Under 41.5	-105

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints +7.5 at the spread.

Saints vs. Buccaneers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Saints vs. Buccaneers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Bucky Irving is most likely to score an anytime TD in Saints vs. Buccaneers.

Our projections give Irving a 43.1% chance of scoring a TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the running back is a 12.2% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Devin Neal (RB)	31.6%
Chris Olave (WR)	30.2%
Taysom Hill (TE)	23.4%
Juwan Johnson (TE)	23.0%
Devaughn Vele (WR)	22.7%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bucky Irving (RB)	43.1%
Emeka Egbuka (WR)	38.4%
Chris Godwin (WR)	28.6%
Cade Otton (TE)	21.5%
Rachaad White (RB)	21.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	First TD Probability
Devin Neal (RB)	7.1%
Chris Olave (WR)	6.7%
Taysom Hill (TE)	4.9%
Juwan Johnson (TE)	4.8%
Devaughn Vele (WR)	4.8%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player	First TD Probability
Bucky Irving (RB)	12.2%
Emeka Egbuka (WR)	10.5%
Chris Godwin (WR)	7.3%
Cade Otton (TE)	5.2%
Rachaad White (RB)	5.2%

Saints vs Buccaneers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Buccaneers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Tyler Shough is projected for 223 passing yards, while the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 222 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Tyler Shough (NO)	223
Baker Mayfield (TB)	222

Saints rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Devin Neal	43
Taysom Hill	15
Tyler Shough	14

Buccaneers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Bucky Irving	72
Baker Mayfield	19
Rachaad White	16

Saints receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Chris Olave	69
Juwan Johnson	43
Devaughn Vele	42
Mason Tipton	24
Devin Neal	20

Buccaneers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Emeka Egbuka	60
Chris Godwin	46
Cade Otton	32
Tez Johnson	26
Bucky Irving	19

Saints vs. Bucs game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 14 game between the Buccaneers and Saints at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium

NFL Week 14 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Saints vs. Buccaneers predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Sports betting deals available for Missouri sports betting launch

To truly take advantage of the recent Missouri launch, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that secures the best opening offer in the game. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Buccaneers, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 14 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Buccaneers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.