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Saints vs. Buccaneers prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win in NFL Week 14, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints will lock horns in Week 14 of the NFL season at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Buccaneers as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Buccaneers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Saints vs. Bucs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Saints-Buccaneers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Saints and Buccaneers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Buccaneers a 79% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 14 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Buccaneers winning 24-16.
According to our model, the Saints (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 14 straight up picks.
Saints vs. Buccaneers odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +380 | -450 |
| Total | o41.5 (-115) | u41.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Buccaneers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints +8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Saints | +380 |
| Total | Under 41.5 | -102 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints +8.5 at the spread.
Saints vs. Buccaneers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Saints vs. Buccaneers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 14, Bucky Irving is most likely to score an anytime TD in Saints vs. Buccaneers.
Our projections give Irving a 43.7% chance of scoring a TD at Raymond James Stadium, while the running back is a 12.5% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Neal (RB) | 31.7% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 30.7% |
| Taysom Hill (TE) | 23.4% |
| Juwan Johnson (TE) | 23.0% |
| Devaughn Vele (WR) | 22.9% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (RB) | 43.7% |
| Emeka Egbuka (WR) | 37.7% |
| Chris Godwin (WR) | 28.8% |
| Cade Otton (TE) | 22.4% |
| Rachaad White (RB) | 22.0% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Devin Neal (RB) | 6.9% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 6.6% |
| Taysom Hill (TE) | 4.8% |
| Juwan Johnson (TE) | 4.7% |
| Devaughn Vele (WR) | 4.7% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving (RB) | 12.5% |
| Emeka Egbuka (WR) | 10.3% |
| Chris Godwin (WR) | 7.4% |
| Cade Otton (TE) | 5.5% |
| Rachaad White (RB) | 5.4% |
Saints vs Buccaneers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Buccaneers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 14 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Tyler Shough is projected for 222 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 222 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Tyler Shough (NO) | 222 |
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | 222 |
Saints rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Devin Neal | 43 |
| Taysom Hill | 15 |
| Tyler Shough | 15 |
Buccaneers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | 71 |
| Baker Mayfield | 18 |
| Rachaad White | 16 |
Saints receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | 69 |
| Juwan Johnson | 44 |
| Devaughn Vele | 41 |
| Mason Tipton | 24 |
| Devin Neal | 20 |
Buccaneers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Emeka Egbuka | 60 |
| Chris Godwin | 46 |
| Cade Otton | 32 |
| Tez Johnson | 26 |
| Bucky Irving | 19 |
Saints vs. Bucs game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Buccaneers and Saints at Raymond James Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Buccaneers, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 14 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Buccaneers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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