Saints vs. Dolphins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win in NFL Week 13, 2025

The Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints are scheduled to meet in Week 13 of the NFL season at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Dolphins game.

This article offers a closer look at this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Saints vs. Dolphins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Saints-Dolphins predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Saints and Dolphins 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Dolphins a 70% chance of beating the Saints in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Dolphins winning 23-18.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Saints and Dolphins each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41 points has a 52% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.

Saints vs. Dolphins odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Saints	Dolphins
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+210	-250
Total	o41 (-110)	u41 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saints vs. Dolphins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Saints +5.5	-105
Moneyline	Dolphins	-250
Total	Over 41	-110

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 41 total points.

Saints vs. Dolphins TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Saints vs. Dolphins?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 13, De'Von Achane is most likely to score an anytime TD in Saints vs. Dolphins.

Our projections give Achane a 54.4% chance of getting in for six at Hard Rock Stadium, while the running back is a 14.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Devin Neal (RB)	30.3%
Chris Olave (WR)	30.1%
Taysom Hill (TE)	28.8%
Juwan Johnson (TE)	22.0%
Devaughn Vele (WR)	20.0%

Miami Dolphins

Player	Anytime TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	54.4%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	38.6%
Darren Waller (TE)	27.9%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	27.6%
Malik Washington (WR)	22.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New Orleans Saints

Player	First TD Probability
Devin Neal (RB)	7.1%
Chris Olave (WR)	7.1%
Taysom Hill (TE)	6.7%
Juwan Johnson (TE)	4.9%
Devaughn Vele (WR)	4.4%

Miami Dolphins

Player	First TD Probability
De'Von Achane (RB)	14.9%
Jaylen Waddle (WR)	9.3%
Darren Waller (TE)	6.2%
Ollie Gordon (RB)	6.1%
Malik Washington (WR)	4.8%

Saints vs Dolphins player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Dolphins. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Tyler Shough is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 216 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Tyler Shough (NO)	218
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)	216

Saints rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Devin Neal	45
Taysom Hill	25
Tyler Shough	13

Dolphins rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
De'Von Achane	83
Ollie Gordon	22
Malik Washington	9

Saints receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Chris Olave	70
Juwan Johnson	44
Devaughn Vele	36
Mason Tipton	25
Devin Neal	22

Dolphins receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Jaylen Waddle	73
De'Von Achane	37
Malik Washington	30
Darren Waller	28
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	15

Saints vs. Dolphins game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 13 matchup between the Dolphins and Saints at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Miami Dolphins
• Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Dolphins, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 13 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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