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Saints vs. Bears prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win in NFL Week 7, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints are scheduled to meet in Week 7 of the NFL season at Soldier Field on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Bears as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Saints-Bears game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Bears with a win probability of 61%, while the Saints have 39%."
This gameday Saints vs. Bears betting preview builds on my Saints vs. Bears prediction that was published earlier in the week.
For a closer look at today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Saints vs. Bears predictions page.
Saints vs. Bears predictions
Since our Saints-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Saints and Bears 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Bears a 61% chance of beating the Saints in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bears winning 23-20.
According to our model, the Saints (+3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.
Saints vs. Bears odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (+100) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +172 | -200 |
| Total | o43.5 (-105) | u43.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Saints vs. Bears picks and best bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Saints vs. Bears matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Saints vs. Bears TD scorers
Who will score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Bears?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Chicago's Rome Odunze is most likely to score the first TD in Saints vs. Bears.
Our projections give Odunze a 10.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Bears wide receiver is a 40.7% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
First touchdown scorer predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara (RB) | 7.7% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 6.0% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 6.0% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 10.4% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 9.5% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 6.5% |
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New Orleans Saints
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara (RB) | 30.2% |
| Chris Olave (WR) | 24.3% |
| Rashid Shaheed (WR) | 24.2% |
Chicago Bears
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze (WR) | 40.7% |
| D'Andre Swift (RB) | 37.8% |
| DJ Moore (WR) | 27.8% |
Saints vs Bears player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Saints and Bears. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.
Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our NFL player projections page now to access player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.
Saints vs. Bears quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Spencer Rattler is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Bears' Caleb Williams.
Saints rushing
Alvin Kamara, Kendre Miller and Spencer Rattler are projected to be the leading rushers for the Saints.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Kendre Miller | RB |
| Spencer Rattler | QB |
Bears rushing
D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams and Kyle Monangai are expected to lead the Bears in rushing yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| D'Andre Swift | RB |
| Caleb Williams | QB |
| Kyle Monangai | RB |
Saints receiving
Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed, Juwan Johnson, Alvin Kamara and Brandin Cooks are projected to top the receiving yards for the Saints.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Chris Olave | WR |
| Rashid Shaheed | WR |
| Juwan Johnson | TE |
| Alvin Kamara | RB |
| Brandin Cooks | WR |
Bears receiving
Rome Odunze, DJ Moore, Olamide Zaccheaus, Luther Burden and Colston Loveland are projected to lead the Bears in receiving yards.
| Player | Position |
|---|---|
| Rome Odunze | WR |
| DJ Moore | WR |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR |
| Luther Burden | WR |
| Colston Loveland | TE |
Saints vs. Bears game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 7 game between the Bears and Saints at Soldier Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears
- Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Soldier Field
Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Saints vs. Bears matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Saints vs. Bears picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Bears, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 7 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Saints vs. Bears insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds offer the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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