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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons updated prediction featuring Chris Olave, Bijan Robinson [Week 18, 2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get new expert Saints vs Falcons predictions for Sunday's game.
Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints in Week 18, with our model giving the Falcons a 61% of winning.
As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. A few lineup decisions are still up in the air, and those could shape how each side approaches this NFC South matchup.
Since our early Falcons-Saints predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Chris Olave, Bijan Robinson, and others.
For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Saints vs. Falcons page.
What's changed? New Orleans vs. Atlanta updated predictions
Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Saints vs. Falcons matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:
- Straight Up Win Probabilities: Saints 39%, Falcons 61%
- Predicted Final Score: Saints 20-23 Falcons
- Spread: Saints (+3) 50%, Falcons (-3) 50%
- Total Points (45.5): Over 47%, Under 53%
As of January 1, 2026, these Saints-Falcons calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New NFL player projections for Week 18 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Saints-Falcons on Sunday:
New Orleans Saints
- Chris Olave: 37.2% probability
- Audric Estime: 33.5% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 27.3% probability
Atlanta Falcons
- Bijan Robinson: 54.9% probability
- Drake London: 39.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 35.7% probability
Saints vs. Falcons latest odds
The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:
- Spread: Saints +3 (-102), Falcons -3 (-115)
- Moneyline: Saints +145, Falcons -170
- Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-105/-115)
Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.
Saints vs. Falcons Week 18 details
The NFL Week 18 game between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for January 4, 2026.
- Who: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Falcons, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Week 18 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Saints vs. Falcons matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay informed with the latest NFL news and data-led parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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