Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction: New Orleans favored to win Thursday's NBA matchup [2/26/2026]

The Utah Jazz will take on the favored New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action at Delta Center on Thursday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Pelicans as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Jazz game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Jazz lineup will feature players like Brice Sensabaugh, Ace Bailey and Kyle Filipowski, while the Pelicans will rely on Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey and Dejounte Murray.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Pelicans and Jazz 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Pelicans a 72% chance of beating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Pelicans winning 124-118.

According to our model, the Jazz (+5.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 245.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.

Pelicans vs. Jazz odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Pelicans	Jazz
Spread	-5.5 (-118)	+5.5 (-102)
Moneyline	-235	+195
Total	o245.5 (-115)	u245.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pelicans vs. Jazz picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Jazz +5.5	-102
Moneyline	Pelicans	-235
Total	Under 245.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Under 245.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pelicans vs. Jazz player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on the New Orleans vs. Utah game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Delta Center.

Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Brice Sensabaugh is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Jazz.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Pelicans prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Zion Williamson	26	6	5	0	46
Saddiq Bey	20	6	3	2	36
Dejounte Murray	16	5	6	2	36
Jordan Poole	13	2	3	2	24
Jeremiah Fears	12	3	3	1	26

Jazz prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Jazz:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
B. Sensabaugh	18	4	2	3	31
Ace Bailey	17	5	2	2	32
Kyle Filipowski	15	9	3	1	36
Isaiah Collier	15	3	10	1	39
Cody Williams	9	3	2	1	20

Pelicans vs. Jazz game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Jazz and Pelicans at Delta Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz
• Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Delta Center

Conclusion

We predict the Pelicans, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Thursday, with Zion Williamson projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Jazz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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