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New Mexico vs. Tulsa prediction: Why New Mexico is favored to win NIT matchup [4/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New Mexico vs Tulsa predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Tulsa and New Mexico will lock horns in the 2026 National Invitational Tournament at Hinkle Fieldhouse on Thursday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects New Mexico as the most likely winner of the New Mexico vs. Tulsa game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
New Mexico vs. Tulsa prediction: Who will win NIT matchup?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between New Mexico and Tulsa, forming part of today's college basketball picks coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives New Mexico a 56% chance of beating Tulsa. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 81-79.
According to our model, Tulsa (+3.5) has a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 160.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
New Mexico vs. Tulsa odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | New Mexico | Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +140 |
| Total | o160.5 (-115) | u160.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New Mexico vs. Tulsa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tulsa +3.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tulsa | +140 |
| Total | Under 160.5 | -105 |
According to our best bets for college basketball today, the top play to make on this game is Tulsa +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New Mexico vs. Tulsa game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Tulsa and New Mexico at Hinkle Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Mexico vs. Tulsa
- Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Hinkle Fieldhouse
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Make the most of Dimers' New Mexico vs. Tulsa predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict New Mexico, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Tulsa this men's National Invitational Tournament matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate New Mexico vs. Tulsa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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