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Devils vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [11/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Tuesday.
NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00PM ET as the New Jersey Devils square off with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Devils vs. Lightning game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Devils vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Devils and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Devils.
According to our model, the Devils (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Devils vs. Lightning odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Devils | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-175) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -155 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Devils vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Devils +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Devils | +135 |
| Total | Under 6 | -110 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Devils +1.5 at the spread.
Devils vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Devils vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Devils vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 40.4% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 30.8% |
| Timo Meier | 29.5% |
| Jesper Bratt | 29.0% |
| Dawson Mercer | 27.6% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 22.7% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 40.4% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.1% |
| Brayden Point | 36.1% |
| Brandon Hagel | 31.7% |
| Scott Sabourin | 23.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
New Jersey Devils
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Timo Meier | 6.1% |
| Nico Hischier | 6.1% |
| Jesper Bratt | 5.3% |
| Dawson Mercer | 5.3% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 4.2% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.9% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.4% |
| Brayden Point | 6.8% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.4% |
| Scott Sabourin | 4.3% |
Devils vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Lightning and Devils at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Devils on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Devils vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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