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Devils vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New Jersey Devils vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00PM ET as the New Jersey Devils lock horns with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Devils vs. Lightning predictions page.
Devils vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Devils and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of defeating the Devils.
According to our model, the Devils (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Devils vs. Lightning odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Devils | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+170) |
| Moneyline | +126 | -145 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Devils vs. Lightning picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Devils vs. Lightning matchup is on the puck line.
Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Devils vs. Lightning player props
Who will score the first goal in Devils vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Tampa Bay's Jake Guentzel is most likely to score the first goal in Devils vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 9.5% chance of scoring the first goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the Lightning star is a 42.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
New Jersey Devils
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 6.7% |
| Timo Meier | 6.5% |
| Nico Hischier | 5.4% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 9.5% |
| Brayden Point | 8.2% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.1% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 33.7% |
| Timo Meier | 30.1% |
| Nico Hischier | 28.8% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 42.5% |
| Brayden Point | 41.4% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 37.9% |
Devils vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Lightning and Devils at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: New Jersey Devils vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Dimers' in-depth preview of Saturday's Devils vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Devils vs. Lightning picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Devils on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Devils vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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