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New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Philadelphia locks horns with New England at Gillette Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts New England as the most likely winner of the New England vs. Philadelphia game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between New England and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 39.5% chance of New England winning, a 34.0% chance for Philadelphia, and a 26.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| New England | Philadelphia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +160 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -125 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England | +165 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -125 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NER 1-1 PHI | 12.6% |
| NER 1-0 PHI | 10.3% |
| NER 0-1 PHI | 9.4% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between New England and Philadelphia in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Quinn Sullivan (USA)
Philadelphia attacking midfielder Quinn Sullivan is one to watch for USMNT supporters this season as interest grows in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already sparking heavy demand for World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Sullivan's club form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, New England has a 39.5% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 34.0% win probability, and there is a 26.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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