New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/9/2026]

New England will square off with Philadelphia in MLS action at Gillette Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects New England as the most likely winner of the New England vs. Philadelphia game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between New England and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 39.5% chance of New England winning, a 34.1% chance for Philadelphia, and a 26.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

New England	Philadelphia	Draw
+160	+170	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-109	-114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	New England	+160
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-114

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is New England to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
NER 1-1 PHI	12.5%
NER 1-0 PHI	10.1%
NER 0-1 PHI	9.2%

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between New England and Philadelphia in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New England Revolution vs. Philadelphia Union
• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

World Cup 2026 watch: Jack McGlynn (USA)

Philadelphia central midfielder Jack McGlynn is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this season as anticipation grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, McGlynn's MLS form will be watched closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, New England has a 39.5% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 34.1% win probability, and there is a 26.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.