Philadelphia vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. New England at the MLS on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
1
2
May 9, 11:30PM Gillette Stadium
New England
May 9, 11:30PM Gillette Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
L. Langoni (61')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gil (87')
Soccer ball icon
W. Sands (o.g.) (37')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NE
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Beason replaces D. Turgeman
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by C. Gil
1-2
85'
Yellow Card
A. Anello (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Polster replaces L. Langoni
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces I. Vassilev
63'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces G. Yow
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces M. Iloski
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces E. Alladoh
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Langoni, assisted by C. Gil
1-1
45'
Yellow Card
I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by W. Sands (o.g.)
1-0
34'
Yellow Card
J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces F. Westfield

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Philadelphia vs. New England: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +180, New England +160, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-114)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 34.1%
  • New England: 39.5%
  • Draw: 26.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 New England, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.1% probability, while New England sits at 39.5%, with the draw at 26.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. New England prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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