Colorado Rapids vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/31/2026]

Colorado and Chicago are scheduled to meet in the MLS Cup first round on Saturday, with kickoff at 9:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Colorado as the most likely winner in this Colorado vs. Chicago prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Colorado Rapids vs. Chicago Fire prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Colorado and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 42.9% chance of Colorado winning, a 32.8% chance for Chicago, and a 24.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.1% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chicago +203, Colorado +138
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-147/+144)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Colorado @ +138 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +144 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Colorado 1-1 Chicago (11.3% probability)
• Colorado 2-1 Chicago (9%)
• Colorado 1-0 Chicago (8.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS action between Colorado and Chicago is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Rapids vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Colorado has a 42.9% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 32.8% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.