Columbus Crew vs. D.C. United prediction, odds, MLS Cup first round picks [10/31/2026]

Columbus will take on D.C. United in the MLS Cup first round at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Columbus as the most likely winner in this Columbus vs. D.C. United prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Columbus Crew vs. D.C. United prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Columbus and D.C. United, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 67.9% chance of Columbus winning, a 14.1% chance for D.C. United, and an 18.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 64.4% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: D.C. United +614, Columbus -223
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-212/+198)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet for MLS Cup first round

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: D.C. United @ +614 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +198 via FanDuel

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Columbus win being the most probable:

• Columbus 2-0 D.C. United (10% probability)
• Columbus 2-1 D.C. United (9.7%)
• Columbus 1-0 D.C. United (8.5%)

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's MLS matchup between Columbus and D.C. United in MLS at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Columbus Crew vs. D.C. United
• Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00 AM PT
• Venue: ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Columbus has a 67.9% win probability on Saturday, D.C. United has a 14.1% win probability, and there is an 18.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.