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NBA Props: One stat to know for every game on Saturday, March 28
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We use the Dimers Pro NBA projections to find the best betting angle in each game on Saturday, March 28
There are six games on the NBA schedule this Saturday, March 28, and as teams make their NBA playoff push, we are looking at the best NBA player prop or bet to make in each, thanks to some data-backed insights from the Dimers Pro suite of NBA betting tools.
From our best bets and props to the Dimers Pro NBA Projections Hub and our prop trends, all exclusive to Dimers Pros, we have a loaded arsenal of features to help you cut through the noise and find the most profitable ways to bet on every single NBA game, just like how we nearly swept the slate with this same feature article last week.
Now included in the Dimers App, the NBA Player Projections Hub is one of the best ways to uncover hidden player prop value, providing daily projections for every NBA player, including points, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals, and we'll be using this tool heavily today.
This expansive hub can identify players on the brink of significant statistical performances, notably those who are within range of double digits in multiple categories as “Double-Double Threats” or “Triple-Double Threats” as well as find players who are projected not just to hit their regular prop line, but go over even further and cash some plus-money alternate lines or ladder props.
To narrow down today's opportunities, we've identified one notable stat, projection or bet in each of today's six games.
1. Julian Champagnie's threes
Game: Spurs vs. Bucks
Tip: 3:00 PM ET
Pour yourself a glass of some three-point props in the first game of the day.
No NBA team has given up more three-pointers to opponents over their last 15 games than the Milwaukee Bucks, averaging 17.3 per game and are one of just three teams allowing opponents to shoot at least 40% from beyond the arc.
Julian Champagnie is our highest-projected three-point shooter of this game and the second-highest of the entire day at 3.6, and he recently hit 5 threes vs. the Kings who have the second-worst 3PT defense.
You can bet him to knock down 3+ threes (-106) and 4+ (+229) at DraftKings
2. Naz Reid says "not today"
Game: Pistons vs. Timberwolves
Tip: 5:30 PM ET
In Pistons vs. Timberwolves, we get a nice plus-money edge on a prop our model identifies at nearly a 50/50 probability.
Naz Reid gets a projection of 1.3 blocks and a 48.2% probability to go over 1.5 but at odds of +162 on FanDuel, which implies just a 38.2% chance.
That's a straight bet worth making on value alone but the supporting data backs it up as well. Detroit's opponents have the sixth-most blocked shots over the Pistons' last 15 games, nearly 6.0 per game, and over Reid's last 15 games, he's blocked at least 2 shots in six of them.
Today's value on Naz Reid from the Dimers App.
3. Dimes from Kon Knueppel
Game: 76ers vs. Hornets
Tip: 6:00 PM ET
The Hornets rookie made a name for himself this season with his three-point shooting but we're looking at a different offensive angle for him today.
Knueppel pops up with an edge in his assists prop, with a projection of 4.1 (second on the team) and a probability of 53.6% to go over 3.5.
One thing that stands out lately, is that Knueppel's recent uptick in assists has correlated with LaMelo Ball's torrid shooting stretch, and he's hit this in 3 of his last 4 games alone.
The matchup is sound as well, with the 76ers giving up the sixth-most AST over their last 15 games and at least two opposing starters have recorded 4+ assists vs. Philadelphia in six straight games.
4. More threes in Atlanta
Game: Kings vs. Hawks
Tip: 7:30 PM ET
The Kings are another excellent matchup for three-pointers, but you'll have to bet a little bit above our top projected player to get some favorable odds.
Nickeil-Alexander Walker sits at 3.2 threes and -180 odds for 3+, but even if we project him a little under, the data points to a path for him to clear more than that. Remember, our projections are the average of all simulated results, meaning there are plenty of scenarios in which he climbs the ladder.
Over their last 10 games, the Kings have seen individual three-point performances where players hit 7 (twice), 6 (three times) and 5 (three times), as well as a number of 4+ performances.
5. Giddey's big night
Game: Bulls vs. Grizzlies
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
Josh Giddey dropped 16 points, 15 rebounds and 13 assists vs. the Memphis Grizzlies a little over a week ago, and he gets them again tonight.
Giddey's projections point to another well-rounded performance at 18.9 points, 8.9 rebounds and 10.7 assists and aside from his past performance, the matchup shines as the Grizzlies rank 28th in opponent points, 30th in rebounds and 20th in assists.
Take advantage of that dead-last ranking in rebounds and consider Giddey to go one board over our projection for 10+ at +101 or his triple-double at +160 on DraftKings.
6. The Suns shine at night
Game: Jazz vs. Suns
Tip: 10:00 PM ET
In the final game of the night, we have a Western Conference clash between a team eliminated from the postseason and one looking to climb out of the play-in.
Utah ranks bottom five in the NBA in all main categories: PTS, REB, AST and 3PM, landing dead last in assists over their L15 games.
Here's our top projection in each category relative to the player's line:
Points - D. Booker 26.4 (25.5)
Rebounds - O. Ighodoro 7.1 (6.5)
Assists - D. Booker 7.2 (6.5)
Threes - C. Gillespie 2.9 (2.5)
All four are projected to go over - take each player to clear their lines together for a little +750 same game parlay on DraftKings.
Dimers' NBA betting resources for the 2025-26 season
- NBA Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every NBA matchup, every day.
- NBA Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game.
- NBA Finals Odds: Who will win the championship?
- Best NBA Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NBA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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