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Spurs vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Bucks NBA game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
127
95
Mar 28, 7PM Fiserv Forum
Mar 28, 7PM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 37 | 30 | 35 | 25 | 127 |
Bucks | 22 | 23 | 34 | 16 | 95 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 37 | 30 | 35 | 25 | 127 |
Bucks | 22 | 23 | 34 | 16 | 95 |
Q4 00:27 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:09 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Bucks turnover
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
127-95
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
127-93
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
125-93
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
125-91
Bucks turnover
Spurs turnover
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
123-91
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-89
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Cormac Ryan offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
122-89
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
122-86
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
122-84
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Lindy Waters III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Lindy Waters III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-84
Bucks turnover
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Luke Kornet, Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
119-84
Bucks turnover
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
116-84
Bucks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-81
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-81
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Taurean Prince)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-81
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
113-81
AJ Green defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-79
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-79
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Bucks personal foul
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Pete Nance, AJ Green, Taurean Prince)
Bucks turnover
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
111-79
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
109-79
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Bucks turnover
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-79
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Pete Nance defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-79
Bucks personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Pete Nance, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Taurean Prince)
Bucks turnover
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
+1
AJ Green makes technical free throw 1 of 1
102-79
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
102-78
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
100-78
Bucks personal foul
Bucks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-75
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-75
+3
Dylan Harper makes three point jump shot
102-79
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Bucks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes technical free throw 1 of 1
98-75
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Taurean Prince)
+3
Andre Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot
97-75
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-72
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
94-72
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
92-72
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-70
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
90-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-68
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
88-68
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
88-65
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
Bucks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-65
Bucks turnover
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
83-65
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
80-65
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Spurs turnover
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Gary Trent Jr. offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
80-62
Bucks personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-62
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
78-61
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
75-61
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-58
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-58
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
71-58
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
71-55
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
71-53
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-51
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-53
Spurs violation
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-51
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
67-51
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
67-48
Spurs personal foul
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Pete Nance, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins)
Bucks offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Pete Nance, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr.)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
67-45
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
67-42
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-39
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
65-39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-37
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
63-37
AJ Green defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-35
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
61-35
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-33
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
59-33
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
56-33
Spurs turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
56-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
56-29
Bucks 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Pete Nance, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
54-29
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
51-29
Bucks personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Pete Nance, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Taurean Prince)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
49-29
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-27
Bucks personal foul
Bucks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
49-27
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
46-27
Spurs turnover
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
46-24
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
44-24
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Taurean Prince)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
42-24
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Taurean Prince offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
37-24
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
37-22
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-22
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-22
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
31-22
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
31-20
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-19
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-20
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
29-18
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
29-16
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Pete Nance offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-16
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks turnover
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Taurean Prince)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
24-16
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
21-16
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
Bucks turnover
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
21-14
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
21-11
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
18-11
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
15-11
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
15-9
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
13-9
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
11-8
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-9
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
11-6
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
11-4
Bucks 60 second timeout
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
9-4
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
6-4
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Bucks personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-2
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
3-2
Pete Nance defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
2-0
Bucks personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
3-0
Start of 1st Quarter
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Pete Nance, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
(De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| C-F | 7 | L. Kornet | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 43 | L. Waters III | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| F-C | 8 | K. Olynyk | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 0 | J. Sims | 10 | 10 | 2 |
| F | 12 | T. Prince | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| G | 44 | A. Jackson Jr. | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 30 | C. Ryan | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 20 | A. Green | 7 | 3 | 3 |
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Spurs vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Bucks
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -17.5
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -1487, Bucks +1329
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 89%
- Bucks: 11%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 121-106 Bucks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 89%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 11%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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