NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Moussa Diabate [3/11/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for March 11, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Moussa Diabate, Brook Lopez and Mikal Bridges.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Rockets vs. Nuggets and Timberwolves vs. Clippers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday, 3/11

Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for March 11, ranked by edge.

Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks (+194)

• Edge: 13.9%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Hornets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Charlotte's Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.9% gives this play an edge of 13.9% at +194 odds.

Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Brook Lopez’s blocks prop shows a 9.5% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.4% probability and a 9.5% edge at +178.

Tari Eason over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Tari Eason to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 8.7% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists (+130)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Projection: 5.8
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists for Houston, showing an edge of 8.1% at +130 odds.

Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists (+115)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Projection: 5.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Kevin Durant’s assists prop shows an edge of 7.6% at +115 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.2 today.

Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists (-111)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Projection: 11.3
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Nikola Jokic for 11.3 assists for Denver, creating an edge of 7.6% on over 9.5 at -111 odds.

Kevin Durant over 24.5 points scored (-104)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Projection: 27.9
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Kevin Durant for 27.9 points scored, creating value on the over 24.5 line at -104 odds and a 6.1% edge.

Darius Garland over 6.5 assists (+122)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Projection: 6.7
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the over 24.5 assists line makes Darius Garland a value play in Timberwolves vs. Clippers, with our model projecting him for 6.7 assists at +122 odds.

Brandon Miller under 0.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 41.7%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hornets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Brandon Miller for 1.1 steals here, creating a 5.8% edge on the under 0.5 line at +178 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:53PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Hornets vs. Kings	Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks	+194 @ FanDuel	13.9%	47.9%
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	9.5%	47.7%
Knicks vs. Jazz	Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals	+178 @ DraftKings	8.7%	46.8%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Tari Eason over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.7%	46.8%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists	+130 @ FanDuel	8.1%	51.6%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Kevin Durant over 4.5 assists	+115 @ BetMGM	7.6%	54.2%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists	-111 @ FanDuel	7.6%	60.2%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Kevin Durant over 24.5 points scored	-104 @ FanDuel	6.1%	57.1%
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Darius Garland over 24.5 assists	+122 @ FanDuel	5.9%	50.9%
Hornets vs. Kings	Brandon Miller under 0.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	5.8%	41.7%

Conclusion

For March 11, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Moussa Diabate, Brook Lopez and Mikal Bridges. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.