NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Paul George [12/14/2025]

Paul George over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 13.2%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Projection: 1.7
• Game: 76ers vs. Hawks (6:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Paul George over 1.5 steals. A probability of 53.6% gives this play an edge of 13.2% at +148 odds.

Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.5%
• Probability: 48.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Grayson Allen’s steals prop shows a 12.5% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Darius Garland over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Hornets vs. Cavaliers (3:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Darius Garland over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.3% probability and a 12.3% edge at +194.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 12.1% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Kings vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals for Minnesota, showing an edge of 10.6% at +178 odds.

Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists (+128)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Marcus Smart’s assists prop shows an edge of 10.5% at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.3 today.

Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Dillon Brooks for 1.2 steals for Phoenix, creating an edge of 10.3% on over 1.5 at +178 odds.

Derik Queen over 1.5 blocks (+170)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pelicans vs. Bulls (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Derik Queen for 1.2 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +170 odds and a 10.3% edge.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+152)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM ET)

A 10.2% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Stephen Curry a value play in Warriors vs. Trail Blazers, with our model projecting him for 1.5 steals at +152 odds.

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Kings vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Rudy Gobert for 1.3 blocks here, creating a 10.1% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, December 14, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:41AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
76ers vs. Hawks	Paul George over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	13.2%	53.6%
Lakers vs. Suns	Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.5%	48.4%
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Darius Garland over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.1%	46.1%
Lakers vs. Suns	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.1%	46.1%
Kings vs. Timberwolves	Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.6%	46.6%
Lakers vs. Suns	Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists	+128 @ FanDuel	10.5%	54.3%
Lakers vs. Suns	Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.3%	46.3%
Pelicans vs. Bulls	Derik Queen over 1.5 blocks	+170 @ DraftKings	10.3%	47.3%
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+152 @ DraftKings	10.2%	49.9%
Kings vs. Timberwolves	Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	10.1%	48.3%

Conclusion

For December 14, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Paul George, Grayson Allen and Darius Garland. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.