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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on December 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
131
136
Dec 15, 2AM Moda Center
Dec 15, 2AM Moda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 31 | 31 | 37 | 32 | 131 |
Trail Blazers | 34 | 27 | 35 | 40 | 136 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 31 | 31 | 37 | 32 | 131 |
Trail Blazers | 34 | 27 | 35 | 40 | 136 |
Q4 00:11 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
131-134
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-135
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-136
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-133
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-134
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-131
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-132
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
129-129
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
129-130
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
129-127
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
126-126
Warriors personal foul
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-127
Warriors personal foul
Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
126-124
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
126-121
Trail Blazers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
124-121
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan)
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
121-121
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Jimmy Butler III misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Trail Blazers defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan)
Trail Blazers challenge timeout
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
121-119
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
120-116
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
121-116
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
118-116
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Robert Williams III, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
115-116
Jerami Grant offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
115-113
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
112-113
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
112-111
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
109-111
Shaedon Sharpe offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Kris Murray offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
109-109
Kris Murray defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot (Kris Murray assists)
109-107
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot (Shaedon Sharpe assists)
109-104
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
109-101
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
109-99
Trail Blazers turnover (Quinten Post steals)
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Robert Williams III, Kris Murray)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
106-99
Buddy Hield offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-99
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-99
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Caleb Love, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
101-99
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
101-96
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Caleb Love, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
99-96
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
97-96
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
97-94
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
95-94
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-94
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-93
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-94
Jimmy Butler III personal foul
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors personal foul
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
92-92
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
91-92
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
91-90
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
88-89
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-90
Shaedon Sharpe offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Pat Spencer, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-87
Trail Blazers personal foul
Warriors personal foul
+1
Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-86
+1
Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-87
Trail Blazers personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
86-85
Sidy Cissoko offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
Jerami Grant turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors personal foul
Jimmy Butler III turnover (offensive foul)
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
+1
Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-83
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
86-82
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
86-79
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
83-79
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-76
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
83-77
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Robert Williams III, Kris Murray)
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
81-76
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-73
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
79-73
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
79-70
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
Warriors defensive rebound
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
76-70
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
73-70
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
73-67
Trail Blazers turnover
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-66
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-67
Warriors turnover
Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
70-65
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
67-65
Warriors turnover
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Donovan Clingan turnover (lost ball)
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
67-63
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
+2
Jimmy Butler III makes two point jump shot
70-67
Trail Blazers personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-62
+1
Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-63
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
65-61
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-61
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant, Caleb Love, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-61
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
60-61
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-59
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot
58-59
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
55-59
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-57
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
54-57
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-54
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-54
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
52-54
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
52-52
Trail Blazers turnover
Warriors turnover
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Deni Avdija defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-52
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers turnover
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
47-52
Warriors personal foul
Deni Avdija misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-50
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-50
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
45-50
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Jimmy Butler III)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray)
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III)
Warriors offensive rebound
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love, Deni Avdija)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-48
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-3
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
0-3
Warriors turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
0-3
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-3
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Jerami Grant, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-3
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
0-3
Warriors personal foul
+1
Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
0-3
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-3
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
0-3
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-3
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
0-3
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
0-3
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
0-3
End of 1st Quarter.
Trail Blazers lineup change (Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert, Donovan Clingan)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski)
+2
Buddy Hield makes two point layup
31-34
Robert Williams III turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler III steals)
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Trail Blazers violation
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Kris Murray)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -195, Trail Blazers +170
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 69%
- Trail Blazers: 31%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 121-115 Trail Blazers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 69%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 31%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Moda Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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