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NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Anthony Davis [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for January 04, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Anthony Davis, Quentin Grimes and Jalen Smith.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Hornets vs. Bulls and Rockets vs. Mavericks, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Sunday, 1/3
Sourced from 50+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 3, ranked by edge.
Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 12.0%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Dallas' Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.0% gives this play an edge of 12.0% at +178 odds.
Quentin Grimes over 2.5 3-pointers made (+158)
- Edge: 11.9%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Projection: 2.6
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)
Quentin Grimes’s 3-pointers made prop shows an 11.9% edge at +158 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.6 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.
Jalen Smith over 1.5 blocks (+194)
- Edge: 11.9%
- Probability: 45.9%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Hornets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jalen Smith over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 45.9% probability and an 11.9% edge at +194.
Tre Jones over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 11.3%
- Probability: 47.3%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Hornets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Tre Jones to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 11.3% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.
Derrick White over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 10.5%
- Probability: 48.6%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Celtics vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Derrick White over 1.5 blocks for Boston, showing an edge of 10.5% at +162 odds.
Payton Pritchard over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 44.1%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Celtics vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Payton Pritchard’s steals prop shows an edge of 10.0% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.
Nikola Vucevic over 1.5 3-pointers made (-110)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Hornets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Nikola Vucevic for 2.7 3-pointers made for Chicago, creating an edge of 9.9% on over 1.5 at -110 odds.
Deni Avdija over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 43.9%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Deni Avdija for 1.0 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds and a 9.9% edge.
P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 47.9%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Rockets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)
A 9.7% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes P.J. Washington a value play in Rockets vs. Mavericks, with our model projecting him for 1.3 blocks at +162 odds.
Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 47.7%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Celtics vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations project Neemias Queta for 1.2 blocks here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Saturday, January 3, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:03AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | Anthony Davis over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 12.0% | 48.0% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Quentin Grimes over 2.5 3-pointers made | +158 @ FanDuel | 11.9% | 50.7% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Jalen Smith over 1.5 blocks | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.3% | 47.3% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Tre Jones over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 11.3% | 47.3% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Derrick White over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 10.5% | 48.6% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Payton Pritchard over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 10.0% | 44.1% |
| Hornets vs. Bulls | Nikola Vucevic over 1.5 3-pointers made | -110 @ BetMGM | 9.9% | 62.3% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Deni Avdija over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 9.9% | 43.9% |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.7% | 47.9% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.5% | 47.7% |
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Conclusion
For January 3, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Anthony Davis, Quentin Grimes and Jalen Smith. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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