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NBA player props today: Saturday's best props include Scottie Barnes [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for February 28, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Scottie Barnes, Bilal Coulibaly and Alperen Sengun.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Trail Blazers vs. Hornets and Lakers vs. Warriors, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Saturday, 2/28
Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for February 28, ranked by edge.
Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 11.5%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Toronto's Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 49.7% gives this play an edge of 11.5% at +162 odds.
Bilal Coulibaly over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.0%
- Probability: 45.0%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)
Bilal Coulibaly’s steals prop shows an 11.0% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 45.6%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Rockets vs. Heat (3:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.6% probability and a 9.6% edge at +178.
Gui Santos over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 47.3%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET)
Our model projects Gui Santos to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 9.1% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.
Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 47.1%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 8.9% at +162 odds.
LeBron James over 6.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET)
LeBron James’s assists prop shows an edge of 8.5% at +118 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.3 today.
Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Immanuel Quickley for 1.3 steals for Toronto, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.
Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (+124)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 6.0
- Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Scottie Barnes for 6.0 assists, creating value on the over 5.5 line at +124 odds and a 8.1% edge.
Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+166)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 45.2%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET)
A 7.6% edge on the over 5.5 steals line makes Austin Reaves a value play in Lakers vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +166 odds.
Austin Reaves over 3.5 assists (+102)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 4.7
- Game: Lakers vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET)
Simulations project Austin Reaves for 4.7 assists here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 3.5 line at +102 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Saturday, February 28, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 2:53PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 11.5% | 49.7% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Bilal Coulibaly over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.0% | 45.0% |
| Rockets vs. Heat | Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 47.3% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Gui Santos over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 47.3% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.9% | 47.1% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LeBron James over 6.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 8.5% | 54.4% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Immanuel Quickley over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.3% | 46.4% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists | +124 @ FanDuel | 8.1% | 52.7% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Austin Reaves over 5.5 steals | +166 @ DraftKings | 7.6% | 45.2% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Austin Reaves over 3.5 assists | +102 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 56.8% |
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Conclusion
For February 28, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Scottie Barnes, Bilal Coulibaly and Alperen Sengun. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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