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Pelicans vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Jazz NBA game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
105
Mar 1, 2:30AM Delta Center
Mar 1, 2:30AM Delta Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 27 | 38 | 24 | 26 | 115 |
Jazz | 22 | 18 | 33 | 32 | 105 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 27 | 38 | 24 | 26 | 115 |
Jazz | 22 | 18 | 33 | 32 | 105 |
Q4 00:01 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
115-105
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
+1
Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-102
+1
Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-102
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Elijah Harkless makes regular free throw 1 of 3
113-101
+1
Elijah Harkless makes regular free throw 2 of 3
113-102
Elijah Harkless misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Jazz personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-100
+1
Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-100
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
111-100
Pelicans personal foul
Karlo Matkovic turnover (offensive foul)
Elijah Harkless offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
111-98
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Kyle Filipowski gains possession)
Saddiq Bey turnover (lost ball)
Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
111-96
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
108-96
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
107-94
Jazz personal foul
+1
Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 1
108-94
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-93
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-94
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
105-92
Pelicans turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
103-92
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-89
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-90
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
103-88
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
100-88
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
100-86
Jazz personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
98-86
Pelicans turnover
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Jazz turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
98-86
Pelicans violation
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans challenge timeout
Jazz personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-84
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-83
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-84
Jazz 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Blake Hinson, Brice Sensabaugh)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
97-82
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
94-82
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Bryce McGowens makes three point jump shot
92-82
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
94-82
Herbert Jones turnover
Jazz offensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-82
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
Blake Hinson defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
Blake Hinson offensive rebound
Jordan Poole personal foul
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point jump shot
89-79
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
89-79
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears)
Blake Hinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
89-76
Jordan Poole personal foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
Yves Missi turnover
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Jazz lineup change (Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Blake Hinson, Brice Sensabaugh)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
Isaiah Collier misses two point running pullup jump shot
Jazz lineup change (Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh)
Jordan Poole blocks Oscar Tshiebwe's two point putback layup
Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
Oscar Tshiebwe turnover (lost ball)
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Bryce McGowens misses two point tip dunk
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz personal foul
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | B. McGowens | 18 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 0 | J. Fears | 18 | 11 | 5 |
| F-C | 17 | K. Matkovic | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| G-F | 14 | M. Peavy | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 24 | J. Hawkins | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 16 | E. Harkless | 14 | 3 | 5 |
| F | 28 | B. Sensabaugh | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 8 | I. Collier | 21 | 3 | 7 |
| C | 22 | K. Filipowski | 12 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 19 | A. Bailey | 13 | 8 | 2 |
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Pelicans vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Jazz
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pelicans favored at -22.5
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans -225, Jazz +4000
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 67%
- Jazz: 33%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 124-119 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 67%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 33%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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