...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
NBA player props today: Saturday's best props include De'Aaron Fox [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for February 21, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of De'Aaron Fox, Norman Powell and Keegan Murray.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pistons vs. Bulls and Grizzlies vs. Heat, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Saturday, 2/21
Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for February 21, ranked by edge.
De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 45.4%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Kings vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on San Antonio's De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals. A probability of 45.4% gives this play an edge of 11.4% at +194 odds.
Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 11.3%
- Probability: 45.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)
Norman Powell’s steals prop shows an 11.3% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks (+170)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Kings vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 48.0% probability and a 10.9% edge at +170.
Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 44.9%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Andrew Wiggins to record 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 10.9% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.
Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds (+126)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Rockets vs. Knicks (8:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds for Houston, showing an edge of 10.3% at +126 odds.
Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks (+165)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 47.9%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Magic vs. Suns (5:00PM ET)
Mark Williams’s blocks prop shows an edge of 10.1% at +165 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.
Collin Gillespie over 1.5 steals (+173)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 46.4%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Magic vs. Suns (5:00PM ET)
Our model projects Collin Gillespie for 1.2 steals for Phoenix, creating an edge of 9.8% on over 1.5 at +173 odds.
Derik Queen over 1.5 blocks (+160)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 48.1%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: 76ers vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Derik Queen for 1.3 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +160 odds and a 9.6% edge.
Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 45.2%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Rockets vs. Knicks (8:30PM ET)
A 9.2% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Reed Sheppard a value play in Rockets vs. Knicks, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +178 odds.
Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 45.6%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Kings vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project Stephon Castle for 1.2 steals here, creating a 7.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Saturday, February 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 5:50PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.4% | 45.4% |
| Grizzlies vs. Heat | Norman Powell over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 11.3% | 45.3% |
| Kings vs. Spurs | Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks | +170 @ BetMGM | 10.9% | 44.9% |
| Grizzlies vs. Heat | Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 10.9% | 44.9% |
| Rockets vs. Knicks | Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds | +126 @ FanDuel | 10.3% | 54.5% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Mark Williams over 1.5 blocks | +165 @ BetMGM | 10.1% | 47.9% |
| Magic vs. Suns | Collin Gillespie over 1.5 steals | +173 @ DraftKings | 9.8% | 46.4% |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans | Derik Queen over 1.5 blocks | +160 @ BetMGM | 9.6% | 48.1% |
| Rockets vs. Knicks | Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 9.2% | 45.2% |
| Kings vs. Spurs | Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 7.5% | 45.6% |
Boost your betting success with Dimers Pro's NBA prop picks
Ready to see how Dimers Pro can supercharge your NBA prop picks? Check out this explainer video to discover how you can enhance your betting success and gain a competitive edge.
Conclusion
For February 21, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as De'Aaron Fox, Norman Powell and Keegan Murray. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure