Grizzlies vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Grizzlies vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Grizzlies vs. Heat
• Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Heat favored at -11.5
• Total (Over/Under): 238.5
• Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +430, Heat -550

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Grizzlies: 18%
• Heat: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 112-123 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 18%, while the Heat have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.