...
...
Read Article
Grizzlies vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Heat NBA game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 3 free days of Dimers Pro—download the app 
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
120
136
Feb 22, 1AM Kaseya Center
Feb 22, 1AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 33 | 35 | 26 | 26 | 120 |
Heat | 39 | 34 | 39 | 24 | 136 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 33 | 35 | 26 | 26 | 120 |
Heat | 39 | 34 | 39 | 24 | 136 |
Q4 00:00 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06 Trevor Keels misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 GG Jackson makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:57 Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trevor Keels misses three point jump shot
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-136
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-136
Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
Keshad Johnson shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-136
Keshad Johnson turnover (Taylor Hendricks steals)
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
GG Jackson makes two point tip layup
118-136
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 3
115-136
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 3
119-136
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
115-136
Instant replay
Heat personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Myron Gardner technical foul (Double)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Myron Gardner technical foul (Double)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
+3
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
113-136
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Trevor Keels defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
113-134
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
113-134
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
113-134
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
GG Jackson turnover
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-128
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-126
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-126
Norman Powell turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
106-126
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
106-123
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
106-126
Ty Jerome offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Ty Jerome blocks Pelle Larsson's two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Ty Jerome steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point layup
106-123
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
104-119
Grizzlies offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Norman Powell)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Olivier-Maxence Prosper steals)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-119
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-119
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-116
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-119
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks)
Walter Clayton Jr. turnover
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-119
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
101-114
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
99-114
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
99-112
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
96-112
Heat turnover
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
94-112
Tyler Herro turnover (Javon Small steals)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
92-112
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
92-109
Tyler Herro turnover (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-109
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-107
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Dru Smith offensive rebound
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Dru Smith assists)
89-105
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jahmai Mashack personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-101
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-102
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
+2
GG Jackson makes two point driving reverse layup (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
87-98
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot
89-102
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point running layup
Javon Small defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Scotty Pippen Jr. draws the foul)
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
+1
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-98
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
+2
Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point running layup
87-98
Grizzlies turnover
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
86-96
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
84-96
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
101-117
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Ty Jerome personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-93
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-94
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-92
+1
Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-92
+3
Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot
82-92
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-89
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-89
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
80-89
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-88
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-86
Grizzlies personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
78-84
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
75-84
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-84
Grizzlies personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
72-82
Heat turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-81
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-82
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-79
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-76
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-77
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
70-75
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-76
Ty Jerome offensive rebound
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-73
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
68-71
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
66-71
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-71
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
64-68
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-67
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-68
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
62-66
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
58-66
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-66
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-66
Norman Powell defensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-62
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-63
Grizzlies turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-60
Grizzlies personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
56-58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-58
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Javon Small defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
54-56
Heat turnover
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-56
Grizzlies violation
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
51-54
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-53
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-54
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
49-52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-52
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-50
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
46-48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
46-45
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
44-45
Ty Jerome offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-45
Grizzlies personal foul
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
42-43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-43
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
39-41
Heat turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
37-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-41
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
35-39
Heat turnover
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-39
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
33-37
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
33-35
+2
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes two point jump shot
33-33
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-33
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
31-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-31
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
28-29
Heat turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
26-29
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-29
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-26
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-27
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-24
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-25
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
23-23
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
21-23
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
19-23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-22
Grizzlies personal foul
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
17-23
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-20
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
17-18
Heat personal foul
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
15-18
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-17
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-18
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-16
Heat personal foul
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-16
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-16
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
11-14
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-14
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies turnover
Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-11
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-10
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
8-7
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-7
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
5-4
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-4
Grizzlies turnover
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
2-2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jahmai Mashack vs. Bam Adebayo (Kasparas Jakucionis gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 22 | T. Hendricks | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| C | 21 | J. Mashack | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 10 | J. Small | 10 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 28 | 9 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 12 | D. Smith | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 8 | T. Keels | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 12 | 3 | 5 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Grizzlies vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Heat
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +430, Heat -550
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 18%
- Heat: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 113-124 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 18%, while the Heat have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
...
...
Read Article
...
...
Read Article