NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Steven Adams [12/21/2025]

Steven Adams over 5.5 rebounds (+117)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Projection: 7.0
• Game: Rockets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Houston's Steven Adams over 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 58.3% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +117 odds.

Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Kyshawn George’s steals prop shows a 12.1% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Davion Mitchell over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.9%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Davion Mitchell over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.9% probability and an 11.9% edge at +194.

Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.7%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)

Our model projects Mitchell Robinson to record 1.2 blocks today, creating an edge of 11.7% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals for New York, showing an edge of 11.3% at +148 odds.

Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 47.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Bulls vs. Hawks (3:30PM ET)

Matas Buzelis’s blocks prop shows an edge of 11.3% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+177)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Bucks vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Rudy Gobert for 1.1 blocks for Minnesota, creating an edge of 10.2% on over 1.5 at +177 odds.

Dyson Daniels over 4.5 assists (+130)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 5.1
• Game: Bulls vs. Hawks (3:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Dyson Daniels for 5.1 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +130 odds and a 10.2% edge.

Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Bucks vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

A 9.9% edge on the over 4.5 steals line makes Anthony Edwards a value play in Bucks vs. Timberwolves, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +178 odds.

Josh Hart over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET)

Simulations project Josh Hart for 1.3 steals here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, December 21, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Rockets vs. Kings	Steven Adams over 5.5 rebounds	+117 @ DraftKings	12.3%	58.3%
Spurs vs. Wizards	Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.1%	46.1%
Heat vs. Knicks	Davion Mitchell over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.7%	47.7%
Heat vs. Knicks	Mitchell Robinson over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.7%	47.7%
Heat vs. Knicks	Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	11.3%	51.7%
Bulls vs. Hawks	Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.3%	47.2%
Bucks vs. Timberwolves	Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks	+177 @ DraftKings	10.2%	46.3%
Bulls vs. Hawks	Dyson Daniels over 4.5 assists	+130 @ FanDuel	10.2%	53.7%
Bucks vs. Timberwolves	Anthony Edwards over 4.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.9%	45.9%
Heat vs. Knicks	Josh Hart over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	9.5%	47.7%

Conclusion

For December 21, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Steven Adams, Kyshawn George and Davion Mitchell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.