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NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Tyler Herro [12/15/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for December 15, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Tyler Herro, Cameron Johnson and Anthony Davis.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pistons vs. Celtics and Rockets vs. Nuggets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Monday, 12/15
Below are the top ten NBA player props for December 15, ranked by edge.
Tyler Herro over 3.5 assists (+104)
- Edge: 13.5%
- Probability: 62.5%
- Projection: 5.7
- Game: Raptors vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Miami's Tyler Herro over 3.5 assists. A probability of 62.5% gives this play an edge of 13.5% at +104 odds.
Cameron Johnson over 2.5 3-pointers made (+162)
- Edge: 12.0%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Projection: 2.5
- Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)
Cameron Johnson’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 12.0% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.5 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.
Anthony Davis over 3.5 assists (+128)
- Edge: 10.5%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Anthony Davis over 3.5 assists, with simulations showing a 54.4% probability and a 10.5% edge at +128.
Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (+122)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Projection: 6.1
- Game: Raptors vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Scottie Barnes to record 6.1 assists today, creating an edge of 8.3% on the over 5.5 line at +122 odds.
James Harden over 8.5 assists (+118)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Projection: 9.1
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on James Harden over 8.5 assists for LA Clippers, showing an edge of 7.4% at +118 odds.
Sam Hauser over 2.5 3-pointers made (+126)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 50.1%
- Projection: 2.5
- Game: Pistons vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
Sam Hauser’s 3-pointers made prop shows an edge of 5.8% at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.5 today.
Jamal Shead over 5.5 assists (+104)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 54.5%
- Projection: 6.3
- Game: Raptors vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Jamal Shead for 6.3 assists for Toronto, creating an edge of 5.4% on over 5.5 at +104 odds.
Immanuel Quickley over 3.5 rebounds (-114)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Projection: 5.0
- Game: Raptors vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Immanuel Quickley for 5.0 rebounds, creating value on the over 3.5 line at -114 odds and a 5.3% edge.
Derrick White over 3.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 49.1%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Pistons vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)
A 5.2% edge on the over 3.5 rebounds line makes Derrick White a value play in Pistons vs. Celtics, with our model projecting him for 4.3 rebounds at +128 odds.
Kawhi Leonard to score first basket (+750)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 14.1%
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations show value on Kawhi Leonard to score first basket here, with a 14.1% probability and 2.3% edge at +750 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, December 15, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:43AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Heat | Tyler Herro over 3.5 assists | +104 @ FanDuel | 13.5% | 62.5% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Cameron Johnson over 2.5 3-pointers made | +162 @ FanDuel | 12.0% | 50.1% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Anthony Davis over 3.5 assists | +128 @ FanDuel | 8.3% | 53.3% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists | +122 @ FanDuel | 8.3% | 53.3% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | James Harden over 8.5 assists | +118 @ FanDuel | 7.4% | 53.3% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Sam Hauser over 2.5 3-pointers made | +126 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 50.1% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Jamal Shead over 5.5 assists | +104 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 54.5% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Immanuel Quickley over 3.5 rebounds | -114 @ FanDuel | 5.3% | 58.6% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Derrick White over 3.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 5.2% | 49.1% |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Kawhi Leonard to score first basket | +750 @ FanDuel | 2.3% | 14.1% |
Conclusion
For December 15, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Tyler Herro, Cameron Johnson and Anthony Davis. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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