NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Scottie Barnes [3/23/2026]

Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (+128)

• Edge: 13.1%
• Probability: 57.0%
• Projection: 6.7
• Game: Raptors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Toronto's Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists. A probability of 57.0% gives this play an edge of 13.1% at +128 odds.

Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made (+137)

• Edge: 13.1%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Projection: 3.0
• Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)

Max Christie’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 13.1% edge at +137 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.0 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.

Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.6% probability and a 9.6% edge at +178.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 9.2% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds (+116)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds for Houston, showing an edge of 7.4% at +116 odds.

Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists (+128)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Projection: 5.6
• Game: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Amen Thompson’s assists prop shows an edge of 6.8% at +128 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.6 today.

Tristan da Silva over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Tristan da Silva for 1.1 steals for Orlando, creating an edge of 6.4% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.

Jalen Johnson over 8.5 assists (+116)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Projection: 8.9
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jalen Johnson for 8.9 assists, creating value on the over 8.5 line at +116 odds and a 6.1% edge.

Jalen Duren under 0.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 42.0%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

A 6.1% edge on the under 8.5 steals line makes Jalen Duren a value play in Lakers vs. Pistons, with our model projecting him for 1.1 steals at +178 odds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists (+108)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Thunder vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 7.2 assists here, creating a 6.1% edge on the over 6.5 line at +108 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, March 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 3:56AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Raptors vs. Jazz	Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists	+128 @ FanDuel	13.1%	57.0%
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made	+137 @ DraftKings	13.1%	55.3%
Lakers vs. Pistons	Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.2%	45.2%
Lakers vs. Pistons	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.2%	45.2%
Rockets vs. Bulls	Tari Eason over 6.5 rebounds	+116 @ FanDuel	7.4%	53.7%
Rockets vs. Bulls	Amen Thompson over 5.5 assists	+128 @ FanDuel	6.8%	50.7%
Pacers vs. Magic	Tristan da Silva over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	6.4%	44.5%
Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Jalen Johnson over 8.5 assists	+116 @ FanDuel	6.1%	52.4%
Lakers vs. Pistons	Jalen Duren under 8.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	6.1%	42.0%
Thunder vs. 76ers	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists	+108 @ FanDuel	6.1%	54.2%

Conclusion

For March 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Scottie Barnes, Max Christie and Austin Reaves. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.