NBA player props today: Friday's best props include GG Jackson [2/27/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for February 27, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of GG Jackson, Naji Marshall and Mikal Bridges.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Nets vs. Celtics and Grizzlies vs. Mavericks, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 2/27

Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for February 27, ranked by edge.

GG Jackson over 1.5 blocks (+185)

• Edge: 12.0%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Memphis' GG Jackson over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.1% gives this play an edge of 12.0% at +185 odds.

Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Naji Marshall’s steals prop shows an 11.6% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.6% probability and a 10.6% edge at +178.

Jose Alvarado over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jose Alvarado to put up 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 6.8% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks (+135)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 49.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks for Dallas, showing an edge of 6.7% at +135 odds.

Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made (+130)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Max Christie’s 3-pointers made prop shows an edge of 6.5% at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.5 today.

Naji Marshall over 4.5 assists (+124)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Projection: 4.6
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects Naji Marshall for 4.6 assists for Dallas, creating an edge of 5.7% on over 4.5 at +124 odds.

Cameron Johnson over 4.5 rebounds (+136)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Cameron Johnson for 4.1 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +136 odds and a 5.5% edge.

Ryan Rollins to score first basket (+950)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 12.7%
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on the To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket line makes Ryan Rollins a value play in Knicks vs. Bucks, supported by a 12.7% probability at +950 odds.

Cason Wallace to score first basket (+1000)

• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Cason Wallace to score first basket here, with a 10.1% probability and 1.0% edge at +1000 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, February 27, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:59PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	GG Jackson over 1.5 blocks	+185 @ BetMGM	12.0%	47.1%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.6%	45.6%
Knicks vs. Bucks	Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	6.8%	44.9%
Knicks vs. Bucks	Jose Alvarado over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	6.8%	44.9%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Daniel Gafford over 1.5 blocks	+135 @ BetMGM	6.7%	49.3%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made	+130 @ BetMGM	6.5%	50.0%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Naji Marshall over 4.5 assists	+124 @ FanDuel	5.7%	50.4%
Nuggets vs. Thunder	Cameron Johnson over 4.5 rebounds	+136 @ FanDuel	5.5%	47.9%
Knicks vs. Bucks	Ryan Rollins To Score First Basket 4.5 to score first basket	+950 @ FanDuel	3.1%	12.7%
Nuggets vs. Thunder	Cason Wallace to score first basket	+1000 @ FanDuel	1.0%	10.1%

Conclusion

For February 27, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as GG Jackson, Naji Marshall and Mikal Bridges. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.