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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
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NBA
Nuggets
Predicted score
113
:
120
Feb 28, 2:30AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Feb 28, 2:30AM Paycom Center
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 12:37AM, Feb 28
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Nuggets DEN
Nuggets + 8.0
Spread
54%
46%
Thunder OKC
Projected Box Score
Nuggets
Player Pts Reb Ast
N. Jokic
J. Murray
C. Johnson
T. Hardaway
C. Braun
Thunder
Player Pts Reb Ast
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
C. Holmgren
I. Joe
C. Wallace
I. Hartenstein

Game Prediction Article

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +250, Thunder -300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 28%
  • Thunder: 72%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 113-120 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 28%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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