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Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Nuggets
95
93
Feb 28, 2:30AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Feb 28, 2:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 OTT
Nuggets
33 26 24 12 0 95
Thunder
19 31 27 16 0 93
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
78%
22%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234OTT
Nuggets
33 26 24 12 0 95
Thunder
19 31 27 16 0 93
OT1 00:05 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:16 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:27 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:28 Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:28 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:31 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:46 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:58 Thunder makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:03 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:17 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
OT1 00:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:02
Nuggets turnover
OT1 00:03
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 00:03
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:03
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:04
Thunder 60 second timeout
OT1 00:05
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
95-93
OT1 00:14
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 00:14
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:14
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:16
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
95-93
OT1 00:25
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 00:25
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:25
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:27
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
95-93
OT1 00:28
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
OT1 00:28
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:28
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 00:28
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 00:28
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:28
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
OT1 00:28
Thunder 60 second timeout
OT1 00:28
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:28
Nuggets offensive rebound
OT1 00:31
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:38
Thunder turnover
OT1 00:43
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
OT1 00:46
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 00:49
Chet Holmgren shooting foul
OT1 00:49
Thunder 60 second timeout
OT1 00:49
Instant replay
OT1 00:49
Thunder challenge timeout
OT1 00:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 00:58
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-93
OT1 1:01
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 1:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:03
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
OT1 1:11
Thunder personal foul
OT1 1:11
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
95-93
OT1 1:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-93
OT1 1:17
Nuggets 60 second timeout
OT1 1:22
Nuggets turnover
OT1 1:27
Thunder turnover
OT1 1:42
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-93
OT1 1:57
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 1:57
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
OT1 1:57
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
OT1 2:00
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 2:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-93
OT1 2:34
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-93
OT1 2:38
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
OT1 2:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:47
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 2:47
Nuggets 60 second timeout
OT1 2:47
Instant replay
OT1 2:47
Nuggets challenge timeout
OT1 2:51
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:00
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
OT1 3:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:17
Nuggets personal foul
OT1 3:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:24
Thunder offensive rebound
OT1 3:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 3:24
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
OT1 3:31
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 3:34
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:43
Christian Braun defensive rebound
OT1 3:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
OT1 4:09
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
OT1 4:12
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 4:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 4:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-93
OT1 4:42
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 4:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
Instant replay
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
OT1 5:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
OT1 5:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
OT1 5:00
(Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)
OT1 5:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
OT1 5:00
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 00:06
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 00:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:06
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
Q4 00:08
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 00:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q4 00:38
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:38
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 00:49
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 00:50
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 00:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:13
Nuggets turnover
Q4 1:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q4 1:34
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 1:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 1:46
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q4 2:12
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 2:12
Instant replay
Q4 2:26
Nuggets turnover
Q4 2:29
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 2:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:40
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 2:45
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:05
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 3:05
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
Q4 3:05
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
Q4 3:15
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q4 3:34
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 3:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:43
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 3:51
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q4 3:51
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:51
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Q4 4:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q4 4:14
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:16
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:29
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 4:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:37
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:40
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-93
Q4 5:18
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
95-93
Q4 5:34
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:34
Instant replay
Q4 5:34
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-93
Q4 5:34
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
Q4 5:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:39
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:39
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 5:39
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Q4 5:39
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 5:46
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 5:49
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:10
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
96-95
Q4 6:17
Cason Wallace personal foul
Q4 6:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
96-95
Q4 6:30
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 6:33
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
93-93
Q4 7:09
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:09
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-90
Q4 7:09
+1
Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-90
Q4 7:14
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 7:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 7:30
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:35
Thunder turnover
Q4 7:53
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-90
Q4 8:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:03
Instant replay
Q4 8:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:03
Nikola Jokic technical foul (Double)
Q4 8:03
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 8:03
Nikola Jokic misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Q4 8:03
+1
Nikola Jokic makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
90-90
Q4 8:03
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 8:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-90
Q4 8:20
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-88
Q4 8:36
Thunder turnover
Q4 8:37
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q4 8:39
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:56
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 9:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:14
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 9:16
Thunder personal foul
Q4 9:16
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-88
Q4 9:16
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 9:30
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-88
Q4 9:30
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 9:30
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q4 9:41
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 9:45
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:00
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 10:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:11
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 10:13
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-86
Q4 10:39
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q4 10:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:56
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 10:56
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 11:11
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-83
Q4 11:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
85-80
Q4 11:36
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 11:52
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-80
Q4 11:57
Cameron Johnson turnover
Q3 00:00
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q3 00:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:05
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 00:07
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:12
Thunder turnover
Q3 00:27
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
83-77
Q3 00:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-77
Q3 00:39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 00:42
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:01
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:01
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-74
Q3 1:01
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-75
Q3 1:01
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 1:15
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 1:17
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-73
Q3 1:39
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 1:43
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:54
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:57
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:57
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-71
Q3 1:57
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 1:57
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
Q3 2:10
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
81-70
Q3 2:13
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 2:13
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 2:14
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-70
Q3 2:48
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 2:51
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:05
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 3:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-68
Q3 3:19
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:19
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
Q3 3:31
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 3:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:47
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 3:48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:10
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 4:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-68
Q3 4:31
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 4:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:44
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:44
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-68
Q3 4:44
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Q3 4:44
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q3 4:44
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-68
Q3 4:56
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 5:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:14
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 5:16
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-68
Q3 5:43
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 5:47
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:53
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 5:56
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-66
Q3 6:20
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
72-64
Q3 6:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-64
Q3 6:44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:01
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 7:01
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Q3 7:01
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q3 7:03
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-62
Q3 7:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:12
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 7:12
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 7:12
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 7:12
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
68-62
Q3 7:14
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 7:17
Nikola Jokic misses two point putback layup
Q3 7:17
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball)
Q3 7:19
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 7:20
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:28
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q3 7:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:39
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 7:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:52
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q3 7:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:10
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
68-61
Q3 8:28
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 8:28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-60
Q3 8:28
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-61
Q3 8:36
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
66-59
Q3 8:41
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Q3 8:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:52
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-59
Q3 9:22
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-57
Q3 9:30
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:30
Thunder personal foul
Q3 9:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-57
Q3 9:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:51
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 9:51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:54
Nuggets turnover
Q3 10:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:02
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 10:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:16
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
62-55
Q3 10:29
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:29
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 10:29
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 10:29
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-55
Q3 10:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:34
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 10:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:41
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 10:44
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-54
Q3 11:04
Nuggets turnover
Q3 11:18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-52
Q3 11:31
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 11:34
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:41
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 11:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Instant replay
Q2 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Q2 00:25
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
59-50
Q2 00:34
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 00:37
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:50
Thunder violation
Q2 00:50
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 1:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-50
Q2 1:12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 1:19
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:20
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q2 1:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:39
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 1:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-47
Q2 1:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-48
Q2 1:48
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-46
Q2 1:52
Thunder turnover
Q2 1:58
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 1:58
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Q2 1:58
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Q2 1:59
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:06
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 2:09
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:28
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
54-46
Q2 2:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-46
Q2 3:02
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
51-44
Q2 3:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-44
Q2 3:39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
48-42
Q2 3:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-42
Q2 3:54
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 3:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:09
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
46-40
Q2 4:12
Thunder turnover
Q2 4:29
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q2 4:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-40
Q2 5:12
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:12
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q2 5:12
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:12
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-38
Q2 5:12
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-38
Q2 5:12
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Q2 5:18
Thunder turnover
Q2 5:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
42-38
Q2 6:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-38
Q2 6:04
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 6:04
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
Q2 6:04
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Q2 6:16
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 6:18
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:29
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 6:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:39
Nuggets violation
Q2 6:39
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 6:47
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 6:50
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-36
Q2 7:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-34
Q2 7:36
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:36
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Q2 7:55
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
38-34
Q2 8:14
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
38-31
Q2 8:18
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q2 8:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:27
Nuggets turnover
Q2 8:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
35-31
Q2 9:06
Nuggets turnover
Q2 9:15
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Q2 9:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:26
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Q2 9:27
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:27
Nuggets turnover
Q2 9:51
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
35-28
Q2 9:51
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 9:51
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q2 9:52
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 9:55
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
35-26
Q2 10:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-23
Q2 10:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-23
Q2 10:55
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 10:57
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-21
Q2 11:20
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 11:23
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 11:39
Jump ball. (Cameron Johnson gains possession)
Q2 11:39
Luguentz Dort turnover (lost ball)
Q2 11:42
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 11:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson)
Q1 00:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:12
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 00:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:16
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q1 00:17
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:33
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 00:33
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-18
Q1 00:33
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 00:33
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q1 00:33
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-19
Q1 00:43
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
33-17
Q1 00:51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:51
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
Q1 1:03
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-17
Q1 1:13
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
30-15
Q1 1:18
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 1:20
Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:24
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 1:24
Nuggets turnover
Q1 1:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:41
Nuggets violation
Q1 1:46
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 1:46
Bruce Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 2:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-15
Q1 2:15
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 2:15
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
Q1 2:15
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 2:16
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
27-13
Q1 2:31
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 2:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:43
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
24-13
Q1 2:58
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 3:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:13
Nuggets turnover
Q1 3:21
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 3:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:33
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:33
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-13
Q1 3:33
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-13
Q1 3:39
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q1 3:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:51
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 3:51
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 3:59
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
20-13
Q1 4:03
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 4:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:20
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 4:24
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:33
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Q1 4:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:48
Thunder turnover
Q1 4:48
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:48
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-13
Q1 4:48
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 4:48
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
Q1 4:48
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-13
Q1 5:00
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 5:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:10
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:12
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 5:16
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:22
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:39
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
15-13
Q1 5:54
Thunder personal foul
Q1 5:54
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 5:54
Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
Q1 5:54
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 5:55
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 5:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:02
Nuggets turnover
Q1 6:07
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 6:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:15
Nuggets turnover
Q1 6:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-13
Q1 6:42
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 6:45
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:59
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 7:01
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:01
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 7:01
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 7:01
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 7:01
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Q1 7:16
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 7:18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-11
Q1 7:18
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:18
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 7:19
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 7:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:35
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
10-11
Q1 7:57
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-11
Q1 8:07
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:09
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:18
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 8:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:24
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 8:26
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:32
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 9:11
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 9:11
Nikola Jokic personal foul
Q1 9:11
Nikola Jokic turnover
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F0 C. Braun 23 8 2
F23 C. Johnson 7 8 1
G-F10 T. Hardaway Jr. 16 2 1
C15 N. Jokic 23 17 14
G27 J. Murray 39 8 6
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G9 A. Caruso 12 1 1
G22 C. Wallace 10 4 3
G11 I. Joe 9 4 3
F6 J. Williams 12 5 3
F7 C. Holmgren 15 21 3

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +210, Thunder -245

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 32%
  • Thunder: 68%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 115-120 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 32%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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