Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on February 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Nuggets
95
93
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Thunder
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TEAM1234OTT
Nuggets
33 26 24 12 0 95
Thunder
19 31 27 16 0 93
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    78%
  • Thunder
    22%
Win Probability
TEAM1234OTT
Nuggets
33 26 24 12 0 95
Thunder
19 31 27 16 0 93
OT1 00:05 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:16 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:27 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
OT1 00:28 Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:28 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 00:31 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:46 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:58 Thunder makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:03 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:17 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 00:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:02
    Nuggets turnover
  3. OT1 00:03
    Nuggets personal foul
  4. OT1 00:03
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  5. OT1 00:03
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  6. OT1 00:04
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  7. OT1 00:05
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  8. OT1 00:14
    Nuggets personal foul
  9. OT1 00:14
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  10. OT1 00:14
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  11. OT1 00:16
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  12. OT1 00:25
    Nuggets personal foul
  13. OT1 00:25
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  14. OT1 00:25
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  15. OT1 00:27
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  16. OT1 00:28
    Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
  17. OT1 00:28
    Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
  18. OT1 00:28
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  19. OT1 00:28
    Nuggets personal foul
  20. OT1 00:28
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  21. OT1 00:28
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  22. OT1 00:28
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  23. OT1 00:28
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  24. OT1 00:28
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  25. OT1 00:31
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  26. OT1 00:38
    Thunder turnover
  27. OT1 00:43
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  28. OT1 00:46
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  29. OT1 00:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  30. OT1 00:49
    Chet Holmgren shooting foul
  31. OT1 00:49
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  32. OT1 00:49
    Instant replay
  33. OT1 00:49
    Thunder challenge timeout
  34. OT1 00:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  35. OT1 00:58
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  36. OT1 1:01
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  37. OT1 1:03
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  38. OT1 1:03
    Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
  39. OT1 1:11
    Thunder personal foul
  40. OT1 1:11
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    95-93
  41. OT1 1:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  42. OT1 1:17
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  43. OT1 1:22
    Nuggets turnover
  44. OT1 1:27
    Thunder turnover
  45. OT1 1:42
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  46. OT1 1:57
    Nuggets personal foul
  47. OT1 1:57
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  48. OT1 1:57
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  49. OT1 2:00
    Nuggets personal foul
  50. OT1 2:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  51. OT1 2:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  52. OT1 2:38
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  53. OT1 2:41
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  54. OT1 2:47
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  55. OT1 2:47
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  56. OT1 2:47
    Instant replay
  57. OT1 2:47
    Nuggets challenge timeout
  58. OT1 2:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  59. OT1 3:00
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  60. OT1 3:07
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  61. OT1 3:17
    Nuggets personal foul
  62. OT1 3:23
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  63. OT1 3:24
    Thunder offensive rebound
  64. OT1 3:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  65. OT1 3:24
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  66. OT1 3:31
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  67. OT1 3:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  68. OT1 3:43
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  69. OT1 3:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  70. OT1 4:09
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  71. OT1 4:12
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  72. OT1 4:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  73. OT1 4:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  74. OT1 4:42
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  75. OT1 4:44
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 00:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 00:00
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  78. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  79. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  80. OT1 5:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  81. OT1 5:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  82. OT1 5:00
    (Tim Hardaway Jr. gains possession)
  83. OT1 5:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  84. OT1 5:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  85. Q4 00:06
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  86. Q4 00:06
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  87. Q4 00:06
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  88. Q4 00:08
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  89. Q4 00:23
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  90. Q4 00:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  91. Q4 00:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  92. Q4 00:38
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  93. Q4 00:38
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  94. Q4 00:49
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  95. Q4 00:50
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  96. Q4 00:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 00:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  98. Q4 1:13
    Nuggets turnover
  99. Q4 1:23
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  100. Q4 1:34
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  101. Q4 1:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 1:43
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  103. Q4 1:46
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 2:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  105. Q4 2:12
    Nuggets personal foul
  106. Q4 2:12
    Instant replay
  107. Q4 2:26
    Nuggets turnover
  108. Q4 2:29
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  109. Q4 2:31
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  110. Q4 2:40
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  111. Q4 2:45
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  112. Q4 3:05
    Nuggets personal foul
  113. Q4 3:05
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  114. Q4 3:05
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  115. Q4 3:15
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  116. Q4 3:34
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  117. Q4 3:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  118. Q4 3:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  119. Q4 3:43
    Nuggets personal foul
  120. Q4 3:51
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  121. Q4 3:51
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  122. Q4 3:51
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
  123. Q4 4:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  124. Q4 4:14
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  125. Q4 4:16
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  126. Q4 4:29
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  127. Q4 4:32
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
  128. Q4 4:37
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  129. Q4 4:40
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  130. Q4 5:01
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    95-93
  131. Q4 5:18
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    95-93
  132. Q4 5:34
    Thunder personal foul
  133. Q4 5:34
    Instant replay
  134. Q4 5:34
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-93
  135. Q4 5:34
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-93
  136. Q4 5:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  137. Q4 5:39
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  138. Q4 5:39
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  139. Q4 5:39
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
  140. Q4 5:39
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  141. Q4 5:46
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  142. Q4 5:49
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  143. Q4 6:10
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    96-95
  144. Q4 6:17
    Cason Wallace personal foul
  145. Q4 6:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
    96-95
  146. Q4 6:30
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  147. Q4 6:33
    Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
  148. Q4 6:47
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    93-93
  149. Q4 7:09
    Thunder personal foul
  150. Q4 7:09
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-90
  151. Q4 7:09
    +1
    Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-90
  152. Q4 7:14
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  153. Q4 7:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  154. Q4 7:28
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  155. Q4 7:30
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  156. Q4 7:35
    Thunder turnover
  157. Q4 7:53
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    90-90
  158. Q4 8:03
    Thunder personal foul
  159. Q4 8:03
    Instant replay
  160. Q4 8:03
    Thunder personal foul
  161. Q4 8:03
    Nikola Jokic technical foul (Double)
  162. Q4 8:03
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
  163. Q4 8:03
    Nikola Jokic misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
  164. Q4 8:03
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    90-90
  165. Q4 8:03
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  166. Q4 8:08
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    88-90
  167. Q4 8:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    88-88
  168. Q4 8:36
    Thunder turnover
  169. Q4 8:37
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  170. Q4 8:39
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  171. Q4 8:56
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  172. Q4 9:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  173. Q4 9:14
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  174. Q4 9:16
    Thunder personal foul
  175. Q4 9:16
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-88
  176. Q4 9:16
    Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  177. Q4 9:30
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    85-88
  178. Q4 9:30
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  179. Q4 9:30
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  180. Q4 9:41
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  181. Q4 9:45
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  182. Q4 10:00
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  183. Q4 10:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  184. Q4 10:11
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  185. Q4 10:13
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  186. Q4 10:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    85-86
  187. Q4 10:39
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  188. Q4 10:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  189. Q4 10:56
    Nuggets personal foul
  190. Q4 10:56
    Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
  191. Q4 11:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    85-83
  192. Q4 11:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    85-80
  193. Q4 11:36
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  194. Q4 11:52
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-80
  195. Q4 11:57
    Cameron Johnson turnover
  196. Q3 00:00
    Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
  197. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  198. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  199. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  200. Q3 00:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  201. Q3 00:05
    Christian Braun offensive rebound
  202. Q3 00:07
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  203. Q3 00:12
    Thunder turnover
  204. Q3 00:27
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    83-77
  205. Q3 00:34
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    81-77
  206. Q3 00:39
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  207. Q3 00:42
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  208. Q3 1:01
    Nuggets personal foul
  209. Q3 1:01
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-74
  210. Q3 1:01
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    81-75
  211. Q3 1:01
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  212. Q3 1:15
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  213. Q3 1:17
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  214. Q3 1:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    81-73
  215. Q3 1:39
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  216. Q3 1:43
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  217. Q3 1:54
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  218. Q3 1:57
    Nuggets personal foul
  219. Q3 1:57
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-71
  220. Q3 1:57
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  221. Q3 1:57
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
  222. Q3 2:10
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    81-70
  223. Q3 2:13
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  224. Q3 2:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  225. Q3 2:14
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  226. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    78-70
  227. Q3 2:48
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  228. Q3 2:51
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  229. Q3 3:05
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  230. Q3 3:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 3:19
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    78-68
  232. Q3 3:19
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  233. Q3 3:19
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso)
  234. Q3 3:31
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  235. Q3 3:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 3:47
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  237. Q3 3:48
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  238. Q3 4:10
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  239. Q3 4:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  240. Q3 4:23
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    76-68
  241. Q3 4:31
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  242. Q3 4:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  243. Q3 4:44
    Thunder personal foul
  244. Q3 4:44
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-68
  245. Q3 4:44
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  246. Q3 4:44
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  247. Q3 4:44
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-68
  248. Q3 4:56
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  249. Q3 5:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 5:14
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  251. Q3 5:16
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  252. Q3 5:35
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    72-68
  253. Q3 5:43
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  254. Q3 5:47
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  255. Q3 5:53
    Christian Braun offensive rebound
  256. Q3 5:56
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  257. Q3 6:10
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    72-66
  258. Q3 6:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    72-64
  259. Q3 6:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    70-64
  260. Q3 6:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  261. Q3 7:01
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  262. Q3 7:01
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
  263. Q3 7:01
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  264. Q3 7:03
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    70-62
  265. Q3 7:12
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  266. Q3 7:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  267. Q3 7:12
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  268. Q3 7:12
    Nuggets personal foul
  269. Q3 7:12
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    68-62
  270. Q3 7:14
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  271. Q3 7:17
    Nikola Jokic misses two point putback layup
  272. Q3 7:17
    Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball)
  273. Q3 7:19
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  274. Q3 7:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  275. Q3 7:28
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  276. Q3 7:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  277. Q3 7:39
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  278. Q3 7:41
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  279. Q3 7:52
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  280. Q3 7:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  281. Q3 8:10
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    68-61
  282. Q3 8:28
    Nuggets personal foul
  283. Q3 8:28
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-60
  284. Q3 8:28
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-61
  285. Q3 8:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    66-59
  286. Q3 8:41
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  287. Q3 8:43
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  288. Q3 8:52
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  289. Q3 8:54
    Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
  290. Q3 9:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-59
  291. Q3 9:22
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    64-57
  292. Q3 9:30
    Thunder personal foul
  293. Q3 9:30
    Thunder personal foul
  294. Q3 9:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    62-57
  295. Q3 9:51
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  296. Q3 9:51
    Thunder offensive rebound
  297. Q3 9:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  298. Q3 9:54
    Nuggets turnover
  299. Q3 10:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  300. Q3 10:02
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  301. Q3 10:03
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  302. Q3 10:16
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    62-55
  303. Q3 10:29
    Nuggets personal foul
  304. Q3 10:29
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  305. Q3 10:29
    Thunder offensive rebound
  306. Q3 10:29
    +1
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-55
  307. Q3 10:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  308. Q3 10:34
    Thunder offensive rebound
  309. Q3 10:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  310. Q3 10:41
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  311. Q3 10:44
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  312. Q3 11:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    59-54
  313. Q3 11:04
    Nuggets turnover
  314. Q3 11:18
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    59-52
  315. Q3 11:31
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  316. Q3 11:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  317. Q3 11:41
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  318. Q3 11:43
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  319. Q2 00:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  321. Q2 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  322. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  323. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  324. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
  325. Q2 00:25
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    59-50
  326. Q2 00:34
    Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
  327. Q2 00:37
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  328. Q2 00:50
    Thunder violation
  329. Q2 00:50
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
  330. Q2 1:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    56-50
  331. Q2 1:12
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  332. Q2 1:19
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  333. Q2 1:20
    Jamal Murray offensive rebound
  334. Q2 1:22
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  335. Q2 1:39
    Nuggets personal foul
  336. Q2 1:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-47
  337. Q2 1:39
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-48
  338. Q2 1:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    56-46
  339. Q2 1:52
    Thunder turnover
  340. Q2 1:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  341. Q2 1:58
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  342. Q2 1:58
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
  343. Q2 1:59
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  344. Q2 2:02
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  345. Q2 2:06
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  346. Q2 2:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  347. Q2 2:28
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    54-46
  348. Q2 2:49
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    51-46
  349. Q2 3:02
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    51-44
  350. Q2 3:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    48-44
  351. Q2 3:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    48-42
  352. Q2 3:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    46-42
  353. Q2 3:54
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  354. Q2 3:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 4:09
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    46-40
  356. Q2 4:12
    Thunder turnover
  357. Q2 4:29
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  358. Q2 4:32
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 4:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    44-40
  360. Q2 5:12
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 5:12
    Christian Braun offensive rebound
  362. Q2 5:12
    Thunder personal foul
  363. Q2 5:12
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-38
  364. Q2 5:12
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-38
  365. Q2 5:12
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
  366. Q2 5:18
    Thunder turnover
  367. Q2 5:45
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    42-38
  368. Q2 6:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-38
  369. Q2 6:04
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  370. Q2 6:04
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso)
  371. Q2 6:04
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  372. Q2 6:16
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  373. Q2 6:18
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  374. Q2 6:29
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  375. Q2 6:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  376. Q2 6:39
    Nuggets violation
  377. Q2 6:39
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
  378. Q2 6:47
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  379. Q2 6:50
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  380. Q2 7:15
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-36
  381. Q2 7:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    40-34
  382. Q2 7:36
    Thunder personal foul
  383. Q2 7:36
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  384. Q2 7:55
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    38-34
  385. Q2 8:14
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    38-31
  386. Q2 8:18
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  387. Q2 8:21
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  388. Q2 8:27
    Nuggets turnover
  389. Q2 8:56
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    35-31
  390. Q2 9:06
    Nuggets turnover
  391. Q2 9:15
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  392. Q2 9:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  393. Q2 9:26
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  394. Q2 9:27
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  395. Q2 9:27
    Nuggets turnover
  396. Q2 9:51
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
    35-28
  397. Q2 9:51
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  398. Q2 9:51
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  399. Q2 9:52
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  400. Q2 9:55
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  401. Q2 10:14
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    35-26
  402. Q2 10:28
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    35-23
  403. Q2 10:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    33-23
  404. Q2 10:55
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  405. Q2 10:57
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  406. Q2 11:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    33-21
  407. Q2 11:20
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  408. Q2 11:23
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  409. Q2 11:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  410. Q2 11:39
    Jump ball. (Cameron Johnson gains possession)
  411. Q2 11:39
    Luguentz Dort turnover (lost ball)
  412. Q2 11:42
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  413. Q2 11:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 00:00
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  415. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  416. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson)
  417. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  418. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe)
  419. Q2 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Cameron Johnson)
  420. Q1 00:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 00:12
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  422. Q1 00:15
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 00:16
    Jamal Murray offensive rebound
  424. Q1 00:17
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 00:33
    Nuggets personal foul
  426. Q1 00:33
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    33-18
  427. Q1 00:33
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  428. Q1 00:33
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  429. Q1 00:33
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-19
  430. Q1 00:43
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    33-17
  431. Q1 00:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  432. Q1 00:51
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
  433. Q1 1:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    30-17
  434. Q1 1:13
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    30-15
  435. Q1 1:18
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  436. Q1 1:20
    Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
  437. Q1 1:24
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  438. Q1 1:24
    Nuggets turnover
  439. Q1 1:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 1:41
    Nuggets violation
  441. Q1 1:46
    Nuggets personal foul
  442. Q1 1:46
    Bruce Brown turnover (offensive foul)
  443. Q1 2:01
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-15
  444. Q1 2:15
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  445. Q1 2:15
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
  446. Q1 2:15
    Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  447. Q1 2:16
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    27-13
  448. Q1 2:31
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  449. Q1 2:33
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 2:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    24-13
  451. Q1 2:58
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  452. Q1 3:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 3:13
    Nuggets turnover
  454. Q1 3:21
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  455. Q1 3:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  456. Q1 3:33
    Thunder personal foul
  457. Q1 3:33
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-13
  458. Q1 3:33
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-13
  459. Q1 3:39
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  460. Q1 3:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  461. Q1 3:51
    Nuggets personal foul
  462. Q1 3:51
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  463. Q1 3:59
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    20-13
  464. Q1 4:03
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  465. Q1 4:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  466. Q1 4:20
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  467. Q1 4:24
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  468. Q1 4:33
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  469. Q1 4:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  470. Q1 4:48
    Thunder turnover
  471. Q1 4:48
    Thunder personal foul
  472. Q1 4:48
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-13
  473. Q1 4:48
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  474. Q1 4:48
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
  475. Q1 4:48
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-13
  476. Q1 5:00
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  477. Q1 5:02
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  478. Q1 5:10
    Thunder turnover
  479. Q1 5:12
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  480. Q1 5:16
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  481. Q1 5:22
    Thunder turnover
  482. Q1 5:39
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    15-13
  483. Q1 5:54
    Thunder personal foul
  484. Q1 5:54
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  485. Q1 5:54
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray)
  486. Q1 5:54
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
  487. Q1 5:55
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  488. Q1 5:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  489. Q1 6:02
    Nuggets turnover
  490. Q1 6:07
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  491. Q1 6:11
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  492. Q1 6:15
    Nuggets turnover
  493. Q1 6:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    12-13
  494. Q1 6:42
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  495. Q1 6:45
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  496. Q1 6:59
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  497. Q1 7:01
    Nuggets personal foul
  498. Q1 7:01
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  499. Q1 7:01
    Thunder offensive rebound
  500. Q1 7:01
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  501. Q1 7:01
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  502. Q1 7:16
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  503. Q1 7:18
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    12-11
  504. Q1 7:18
    Thunder personal foul
  505. Q1 7:18
    Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  506. Q1 7:19
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  507. Q1 7:21
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  508. Q1 7:35
    +3
    Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
    10-11
  509. Q1 7:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    7-11
  510. Q1 8:07
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  511. Q1 8:09
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  512. Q1 8:18
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  513. Q1 8:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  514. Q1 8:24
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  515. Q1 8:26
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  516. Q1 8:32
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  517. Q1 9:11
    Nuggets personal foul
  518. Q1 9:11
    Nikola Jokic personal foul
  519. Q1 9:11
    Nikola Jokic turnover
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +210, Thunder -245

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 32%
  • Thunder: 68%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 115-120 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 32%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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