NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Peyton Watson [1/30/2026]

Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 12.5%
• Probability: 48.4%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Clippers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Denver's Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 48.4% gives this play an edge of 12.5% at +178 odds.

Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.4%
• Probability: 46.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Clippers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Peyton Watson’s steals prop shows a 12.4% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 11.9%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Pistons vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 47.8% probability and an 11.9% edge at +178.

Cam Spencer over 2.5 3-pointers made (+142)

• Edge: 11.5%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Projection: 2.7
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Pelicans (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Cam Spencer to put up 2.7 3-pointers made today, creating an edge of 11.5% on the over 2.5 line at +142 odds.

Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+155)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Kings vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks for Boston, showing an edge of 9.7% at +155 odds.

Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Pelicans (7:30PM ET)

Herbert Jones’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.5% at +148 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.5 today.

Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 51.4%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Mikal Bridges for 1.6 steals for New York, creating an edge of 9.3% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.

James Harden over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 47.4%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Clippers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects James Harden for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 9.2% edge.

Al Horford over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

A 9.2% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Al Horford a value play in Pistons vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 1.2 blocks at +162 odds.

Jalen Suggs over 1.5 steals (+140)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 50.5%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Raptors vs. Magic (7:30PM ET)

Simulations project Jalen Suggs for 1.5 steals here, creating a 8.9% edge on the over 1.5 line at +140 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, January 30, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:58PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Clippers vs. Nuggets	Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	12.5%	48.4%
Clippers vs. Nuggets	Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.4%	46.4%
Pistons vs. Warriors	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	11.5%	52.8%
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Cam Spencer over 2.5 3-pointers made	+142 @ FanDuel	11.5%	52.8%
Kings vs. Celtics	Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks	+155 @ BetMGM	9.7%	48.9%
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Herbert Jones over 1.5 steals	+148 @ DraftKings	9.5%	49.9%
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks	Mikal Bridges over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	9.3%	51.4%
Clippers vs. Nuggets	James Harden over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	9.2%	47.4%
Pistons vs. Warriors	Al Horford over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	9.2%	47.3%
Raptors vs. Magic	Jalen Suggs over 1.5 steals	+140 @ FanDuel	8.9%	50.5%

Conclusion

For January 30, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Peyton Watson, Brandin Podziemski and Cam Spencer. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.