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Pistons vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Warriors NBA game on January 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
1st 4:17
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 4:17
Updating LIVE
NBA
55
:
46
Jan 31, 3AM Chase Center
Jan 31, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
Warriors | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
52%
48%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 45 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
Warriors | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
Q2 8:34 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q2 9:01 Isaiah Stewart blocks Stephen Curry's two point jump shot
Q2 9:14 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:42 Isaiah Stewart makes two point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)
Q2 10:07 Draymond Green makes three point jump shot
Q2 11:00 Isaiah Stewart makes two point running dunk (Ronald Holland II assists)
Q2 11:21 Isaiah Stewart makes two point putback layup
Q2 11:24 Daniss Jenkins misses two point bank jump shot
Q2 11:51 Daniss Jenkins misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00 De'Anthony Melton makes two point floating jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
55-46
Isaiah Stewart kicked ball violation
Draymond Green technical foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Isaiah Stewart personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Isaiah Stewart turnover
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes technical free throw 1 of 1
55-46
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Daniss Jenkins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Isaiah Stewart blocks Stephen Curry's two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Stewart makes two point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)
54-43
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot
54-43
+2
Isaiah Stewart makes two point running dunk (Ronald Holland II assists)
54-43
Warriors turnover
+2
Isaiah Stewart makes two point putback layup
55-46
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses two point bank jump shot
Warriors turnover
Will Richard offensive rebound
Will Richard defensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Isaiah Stewart shooting foul (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point floating jump shot
45-36
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-37
Start of 2nd Quarter
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point alley-oop dunk (Daniss Jenkins assists)
45-34
Quinten Post turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Daniss Jenkins makes two point running pullup jump shot
43-34
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart blocks Brandin Podziemski's two point layup
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-34
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-34
De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Ronald Holland II turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
+2
Daniss Jenkins makes two point running layup
39-34
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton misses three point running jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Jaden Ivey misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
De'Anthony Melton makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)
37-34
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Buddy Hield)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Javonte Green)
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
37-31
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
+2
Jaden Ivey makes two point reverse layup (Isaiah Stewart assists)
35-31
+2
De'Anthony Melton makes two point turnaround hook shot
33-31
Cade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Gui Santos makes two point driving reverse layup
33-29
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot
33-27
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Will Richard)
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-27
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-26
Warriors defensive rebound
Jalen Duren personal foul (Loose ball) (Quinten Post draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Gui Santos, Will Richard)
Pistons lineup change (Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Isaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
31-25
+2
Isaiah Stewart makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
31-22
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point driving floating jump shot
29-22
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
27-22
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point cutting layup (Ausar Thompson assists)
27-19
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
25-19
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-18
Ausar Thompson shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-19
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)
22-17
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)
20-17
Stephen Curry turnover (back court violation)
Warriors delay of game violation
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Tobias Harris turnover (offensive foul)
Tobias Harris offensive foul (Off the ball) (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point running jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
17-17
Ausar Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Brandin Podziemski steals)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
17-14
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)
14-14
Tobias Harris shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
12-13
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point cutting layup (Ausar Thompson assists)
11-13
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point reverse layup (Draymond Green assists)
9-13
+2
Tobias Harris makes two point driving layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
9-11
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
7-11
Al Horford defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point pullup bank jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
7-8
Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Ausar Thompson steals)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses two point driving floating jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
4-8
+2
Ausar Thompson makes two point driving layup (Jalen Duren assists)
4-5
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-5
+2
Draymond Green makes two point driving layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
2-4
Jalen Duren shooting foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
+2
Cade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Jalen Duren assists)
2-2
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-1
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-2
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Draymond Green)
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris)
Start of 1st Quarter
Jalen Duren vs. Al Horford (Draymond Green gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 13 | 2 | 7 |
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | M. Moody | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 2 | B. Podziemski | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 30 | S. Curry | 13 | 0 | 2 |
| F | 23 | D. Green | 15 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 8 | D. Melton | 12 | 2 | 3 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pistons vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Warriors
- Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +118, Warriors -129
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 42%
- Warriors: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 111-114 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 42%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Chase Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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