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NBA Cup bets: Three way to bet on Suns-Thunder and Lakers-Spurs on Wednesday, December 10
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We use the Dimers Pro NBA tools to find three ways to bet on the Western Conference NBA Cup games on Wednesday, December 10.
With the Western Conference NBA Cup tipping off tonight, Wednesday, December 10, Dimers Pro members have a unique edge: multiple tools designed specifically to identify value across NBA props, the best NBA bets and NBA player projections, all to help you beat the sportsbooks.
Instead of sifting through dozens of markets and guesswork, these tools surface the smartest angles automatically—whether you're betting star performances, game outcomes, or high-upside alternates.
We're looking at all of those tonight with three different ways to approach the NBA Cup games - Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers - as each team looks to punch their way to the NBA Cup semifinals.
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At the core of this approach are three of Dimers’ most powerful resources: the NBA Player Projections Hub, our NBA Best Bets, and our NBA Player Trends. On their own, they each reveal various betting opportunities, but together, they combine to make a powerful all-in-one betting strategy.
Using these tools, we’ve pinpointed three actionable ways to bet on the Western Conference Cup slate tonight, each backed by the latest data and model-driven probabilities that highlight where the value truly is.
Three ways to bet on NBA Cup games tonight, December 10
There are more ways to bet on these games than just these angles below, so be sure to dig into our full suite of NBA tools in Dimers Pro.
We're looking at a game line, two game leader props and a player combo prop.
Let's start with our model's best across both games.
Bet on the Suns to cover the spread
In the first quarterfinals game of the night, the Suns face the Thunder on their home court as big +14.5-point road dogs with Devin Booker's availability up in the air.
The Dimers model favors Phoenix with the points, giving them a 56.0% probability to cover the +14.5 spread with a 4.0% edge at -108 odds. The Suns even get a little value to pull off the rarest feat in the NBA this year, upsetting the Thunder.
OKC has been utterly dominant all season long, with just a lone game in the loss column, but that hasn't led to them dominating on the spread as they sit just one game over .500 ATS at 13-11. The Suns, on the other hand, are tied for the best ATS record in the NBA at 16-8, and kept it close in a 123-119 loss to OKC two weeks ago when they were at full strength.
Phoenix has hit a rough stretch, but still boasts a Top 10 defense in the NBA, and Booker has been upgraded to questionable for the first time since exiting with a groin strain vs. the Lakers. He currently projects for 23 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists if he suits up in a great value spot from the Dimers model.
Bet on Luka Doncic to get a Triple Double (+357 on DraftKings)
Leading the way in virtually every category is superstar Luka Doncic when the Lakers face the Spurs.
Luka projects for 33.6 points (1st), 9.2 rebounds (2nd) and 8.6 assists (1st), only missing the top rebounding projection by 0.1 rebounds.
That puts him firmly in triple double territory, fresh off his second of the season in a down-to-the-wire matchup with the Sixers. He's also come up one board or assist shy in three separate matchups, including in the Lakers' lone meeting with the Spurs this season, and San Antonio will be without Victor Wembanyama tonight.
Our model gives the Spurs a 53% probability to cover the 7.5-point spread, so while this one should be competitive, the Spurs rank bottom 10 in both opponent rebounds and assists since losing Wemby, all of which gives Luka a path to stuffing the stat sheet.
We used these projections to find a +280 double double prop on Wendell Carter Jr. last night, and we're seeing a similar situation here with Luka.
🏀 MORE: Full player projections for tonight's NBA Cup games
Bet on each game's rebounds leader
For these next two props, we're using the projections hub to find which players could lead the game in a particular category, in this case, rebounds.
You can find these props under the "game leaders" tab in the NBA section on DraftKings.
Mark Williams, PHX (+189 on DraftKings)
In the Suns-Thunder game, our top-projected rebounder is Mark Williams who leads Phoenix in rebounds at 8.6 per game, well over their next-highest contributor, Royce O'Neal at 5.4.
He's our top-projected in this game with 8.4 rebounds over Chet Holmgren at 7.6, who is the favorite on the sportsbooks at +145, giving us some value on Williams.
The Thunder are without their top rebounder, Isaiah Hartenstein (10.7 per game) and Holmgren hasn't grabbed double-digit boards since November 11. Williams hasn't in his past three games either, but grabbed 11, 16 and 14 rebounds in his three games prior, with the 14 boards coming against this same Thunder team that was without Hartenstein then as well.
Since losing Hartenstein, OKC's opponents have grabbed the most or tied for the most boards in the game, which makes Williams look like a good target atop the board tonight
DeAndre Ayton, LAL (+161 on DraftKings)
As mentioned above, the Spurs haven't been as great at limiting opponent since losing Wemby to injury.
Meanwhile, DeAndre Ayton is putting up his best rebounding stretch of the season, hitting double digits in six of his last 10 games, including totals of 12, (twice), 14 and 16 in that run.
He put in one of his best performances of the season with 22 points and 10 boards vs. the Spurs earlier this season and could do so again, potentially pacing the game in the category.
Ayton trails Luka this season with 8.8 boards to his 9.2, but is well over their next highest rebounder Austin Reaves at 5.5.
The Spurs have allowed 15.2 boards per game to Centers over their past 10 games and tonight, he projects for 9.3 rebounds, which leads the entire slate (just narrowly over Luka) and by 2.6 over the highest player on the Spurs.
Luka is a play as well at odds of +212, but Ayton has found himself atop the category more often lately.
Dimers' NBA betting resources for the 2025-26 season
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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