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Suns vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Suns vs. Thunder NBA game on December 10, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
89
138
Dec 11, 12:30AM Paycom Center
Dec 11, 12:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 23 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 89 |
Thunder | 38 | 36 | 36 | 28 | 138 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suns | 23 | 25 | 24 | 17 | 89 |
Thunder | 38 | 36 | 36 | 28 | 138 |
Q4 00:35 Suns misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:15 Suns makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder turnover
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Thunder violation
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
89-138
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
87-138
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-138
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
85-135
Thunder personal foul
Nigel Hayes-Davis defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-138
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-135
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
83-133
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-133
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-131
Suns personal foul
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
80-128
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
78-128
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-125
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
78-123
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-123
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Rasheer Fleming, Oso Ighodaro, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams)
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
Suns misses two point jump shot
Khaman Maluach defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
76-121
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
74-121
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
74-118
Thunder turnover
Suns personal foul
Nick Richards turnover (offensive foul)
Suns lineup change (Jordan Goodwin, Rasheer Fleming, Khaman Maluach, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-118
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-115
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-113
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
72-110
Instant replay
End of 3rd Quarter.
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Jamaree Bouyea, Nigel Hayes-Davis)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Branden Carlson, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-110
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
69-107
Thunder violation
Thunder turnover
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-107
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
67-105
Suns turnover
Thunder turnover
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns personal foul
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
64-105
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-105
Suns turnover
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Jamaree Bouyea)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
62-103
Thunder turnover
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-100
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
62-98
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-97
Suns personal foul
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-98
Ryan Dunn offensive rebound
Suns turnover
Suns misses three point jump shot
Nick Richards defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-95
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-95
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Nick Richards, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks)
Ryan Dunn defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Suns personal foul
Grayson Allen turnover
Instant replay
Chet Holmgren misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
58-95
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Grayson Allen ejected from the game (Other)
Thunder violation
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
60-94
Thunder defensive rebound
Ryan Dunn misses two point dunk
Ryan Dunn turnover (offensive goaltending)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-93
Suns personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-94
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns turnover
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-91
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
58-88
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-88
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mark Williams offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns misses three point jump shot
Grayson Allen personal foul
Suns 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Grayson Allen steals)
Grayson Allen turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-86
+1
Grayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-86
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
54-86
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-86
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-86
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-86
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-84
Suns turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-82
Thunder personal foul
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-80
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-80
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Dillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Suns offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-80
Suns 60 second timeout
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Grayson Allen offensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-78
Suns misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-76
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-74
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-71
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
48-68
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-68
Suns turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-65
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Cason Wallace personal foul
Mark Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Suns offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
Mark Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder turnover
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
45-62
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-62
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-60
Suns turnover
Suns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-57
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
+3
Dillon Brooks makes three point jump shot
41-54
Jaylin Williams turnover
+1
Mark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-54
Suns 60 second timeout
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns turnover
Suns misses two point jump shot
Suns offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
38-52
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
36-52
Suns personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-49
Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Jamaree Bouyea)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-49
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Suns misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
Suns misses two point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-47
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
34-45
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
32-45
Thunder 60 second timeout
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
30-45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Suns turnover
Suns personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-44
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-45
Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Jordan Goodwin, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
28-43
Thunder turnover
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
25-43
Suns personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-42
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-43
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
23-38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-38
Suns turnover
Jamaree Bouyea defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Suns turnover
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
21-36
Oso Ighodaro offensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
Oso Ighodaro defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
19-36
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-36
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-33
Suns 60 second timeout
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Jordan Goodwin, Oso Ighodaro, Collin Gillespie, Jamaree Bouyea)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Jordan Goodwin turnover (lost ball)
Jordan Goodwin offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-28
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-26
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Jordan Goodwin, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Dillon Brooks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-26
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Oso Ighodaro, Grayson Allen)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-24
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
14-22
Thunder turnover
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
12-21
Suns personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
12-22
Suns lineup change (Ryan Dunn, Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
12-19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-19
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
10-17
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Collin Gillespie offensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-17
Suns 60 second timeout
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
7-14
Thunder turnover
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-14
+3
Suns makes three point jump shot
5-11
Suns personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-10
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-11
Suns turnover
Suns personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-8
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-9
Suns turnover
Mark Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Mark Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Suns misses two point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
2-7
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Suns misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
2-5
+2
Suns makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-2
Collin Gillespie turnover
Mark Williams (Collin Gillespie gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Suns lineup change (Royce O'Neale, Dillon Brooks, Mark Williams, Grayson Allen, Collin Gillespie)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 21 | N. Hayes-Davis | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| C | 10 | K. Maluach | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 20 | R. Fleming | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 11 | O. Ighodaro | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 17 | J. Bouyea | 14 | 2 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 15 | B. Carlson | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 13 | O. Dieng | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 3 | C. Youngblood | 3 | 1 | 1 |
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Suns vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Suns vs. Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Suns +870, Thunder -1100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Suns: 13%
- Thunder: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Suns 104-118 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Suns a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Suns in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Suns vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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