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Murray State vs. Maryland prediction: Why Maryland is favored to win women's March Madness First Round matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Murray State vs Maryland predictions for college basketball Friday.
Maryland will face Murray State in March Madness First Round action at Carmichael Arena on Friday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Maryland as the most likely winner of the Murray State vs. Maryland game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Murray State vs. Maryland prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAAW Tournament game between Murray State and Maryland 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Maryland a 97% chance of beating Murray State.
According to our model, the 165.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Murray State vs. Maryland odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Murray State | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +30.5 (-110) | -30.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +4000 | -20000 |
| Total | o165.5 (-106) | u165.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Murray State vs. Maryland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Murray State +30.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Murray State | +4000 |
| Total | Over 165.5 | -106 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Murray State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Murray State vs. Maryland game-day updates and essential details
Friday's women's basketball matchup between Maryland and Murray State at Carmichael Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Murray State vs. Maryland
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Carmichael Arena
- March Madness stage: First Round
College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Murray State vs. Maryland predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict Maryland, with a 97% win probability, will likely beat Murray State this women's March Madness First Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Murray State vs. Maryland insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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