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Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield prediction: Fairfield favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET as Mount St. Mary's locks horns with Fairfield in men's college basketball action at Leo D. Mahoney Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Fairfield as the most likely winner of the Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Mount St. Mary's and Fairfield 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Fairfield a 66% chance of defeating Mount St. Mary's. Our predicted final score has Fairfield winning 76-71.
According to our model, Fairfield (-4.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mount St. Mary's | Fairfield |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-115) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -182 |
| Total | o145.5 (-110) | u145.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fairfield -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Fairfield | -182 |
| Total | Over 145.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fairfield -4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Fairfield and Mount St. Mary's at Leo D. Mahoney Arena is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Leo D. Mahoney Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Fairfield, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Mount St. Mary's on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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