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Canadiens vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens will meet in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Capitals game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Capitals a 57% chance of defeating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Canadiens vs. Capitals odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-200) | -1.5 (+170) |
| Moneyline | +122 | -142 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Capitals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals -1.5 | +170 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | -142 |
| Total | Over 6 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6 total goals.
Canadiens vs. Capitals player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 41.7% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 30.1% |
| Alexandre Texier | 27.0% |
| Nick Suzuki | 26.7% |
| Ivan Demidov | 25.8% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 24.4% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 41.7% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 32.2% |
| Dylan Strome | 32.1% |
| Connor McMichael | 30.2% |
| Ryan Leonard | 27.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 6.0% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.4% |
| Ivan Demidov | 5.1% |
| Alexandre Texier | 5.0% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 4.7% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 8.9% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 6.4% |
| Dylan Strome | 6.1% |
| Connor McMichael | 6.1% |
| Ryan Leonard | 5.0% |
Habs vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Capitals and Canadiens at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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