Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Sunday's NHL Matchup [12/29/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

Montreal Canadiens-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning this Sunday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Amalie Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 5:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Montreal-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 66%, while the Canadiens have 34%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Habs vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's action between the Lightning and Canadiens at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 5:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Canadiens vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Montreal vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Canadiens and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 66% chance of beating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Canadiens vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Canadiens Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-140) -1.5 (+124)
Moneyline +172 -205
Total o6.5 (-118) u6.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Canadiens vs. Lightning matchup is on the puck line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Canadiens vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point an 11.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 54.3% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player First Goal Probability
Patrik Laine 5.0%
Cole Caufield 4.2%
Nick Suzuki 4.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 11.9%
Brandon Hagel 7.4%
Nikita Kucherov 7.3%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Patrik Laine 29.3%
Nick Suzuki 25.0%
Cole Caufield 24.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point 54.3%
Nikita Kucherov 38.5%
Brandon Hagel 37.0%

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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