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Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Montana State vs Idaho State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 6:00 PM ET as Montana State squares off with Idaho State in men's college basketball action at Reed Gym.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Montana State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Idaho State.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Montana State vs. Idaho State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Montana State vs. Idaho State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Montana State and Idaho State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Montana State a 52% chance of defeating Idaho State. Our predicted score is Montana State 72-72 Idaho State.
According to our model, Idaho State (+2.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 72-72 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Montana State vs. Idaho State.
Montana State vs. Idaho State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Montana State | Idaho State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-120) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -110 | +132 |
| Total | o144.5 (-110) | u144.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Montana State vs. Idaho State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Idaho State +2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Idaho State | +132 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Montana State vs. Idaho State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Idaho State and Montana State at Reed Gym is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montana State vs. Idaho State
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Reed Gym
Conclusion
We predict Montana State, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Idaho State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Montana State vs. Idaho State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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