MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Jackson Merrill [4/22/2026]

Jackson Merrill over 1.5 bases (-140)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 69.8%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on San Diego's Jackson Merrill over 1.5 bases. A probability of 69.8% gives this play an edge of 3.9% at -140 odds.

Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 66.3%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Tyler Mahle’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.3% probability and an 2.6% edge at -118 odds, according to our model.

Zack Littell over 14.5 outs recorded (-172)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Braves vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

The data highlights value on Zack Littell over 14.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 65.9% probability and a 2.7% edge at -172.

Miguel Andujar over 1.5 bases (-118)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 64.8%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Miguel Andujar over 1.5 bases, with a 64.8% probability and an edge of 6.2% at -118 odds.

Tomoyuki Sugano under 3.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Tomoyuki Sugano under 3.5 strikeouts for Colorado, showing an edge of 2.9% at -150 odds.

Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts (-128)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Marlins (12:10PM ET)

Kyle Leahy’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.4% at -128 odds, supported by a 62.5% probability according to our model.

Braxton Ashcraft over 16.5 outs recorded (-118)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Pirates vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Braxton Ashcraft over 16.5 outs recorded for Pittsburgh, with a 61.5% probability and a 7.4% edge at -118 odds.

Walker Buehler under 4.5 strikeouts (-114)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: Padres vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Walker Buehler under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.2% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 6.0%.

Janson Junk over 16.5 outs recorded (-116)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Marlins (12:10PM ET)

A 5.1% edge on the over 4.5 outs recorded line makes Janson Junk a value play in Cardinals vs. Marlins, supported by a 58.8% probability at -116 odds.

Jose Soriano under 5.5 strikeouts (-114)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Angels (3:07PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jose Soriano under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 56.1% probability and 2.9% edge at -114 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, April 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:31AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Padres vs. Rockies	Jackson Merrill over 1.5 bases	-140 @ DraftKings	3.9%	69.8%
Dodgers vs. Giants	Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts	-118 @ DraftKings	2.6%	66.3%
Braves vs. Nationals	Zack Littell over 14.5 outs recorded	-172 @ DraftKings	6.2%	64.8%
Padres vs. Rockies	Miguel Andujar over 1.5 bases	-118 @ DraftKings	6.2%	64.8%
Padres vs. Rockies	Tomoyuki Sugano under 3.5 strikeouts	-150 @ DraftKings	2.9%	62.9%
Cardinals vs. Marlins	Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts	-128 @ FanDuel	6.4%	62.5%
Pirates vs. Rangers	Braxton Ashcraft over 16.5 outs recorded	-118 @ DraftKings	7.4%	61.5%
Padres vs. Rockies	Walker Buehler under 4.5 strikeouts	-114 @ FanDuel	6.0%	59.2%
Cardinals vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 4.5 outs recorded	-116 @ DraftKings	5.1%	58.8%
Blue Jays vs. Angels	Jose Soriano under 5.5 strikeouts	-114 @ FanDuel	2.9%	56.1%

Conclusion

For April 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jackson Merrill, Tyler Mahle and Zack Littell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.