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MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Framber Valdez [4/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for April 14, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Framber Valdez, Max Meyer and Nolan McLean.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Marlins vs. Braves and Royals vs. Tigers, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Tuesday, 4/14
Below are the top ten MLB player props for April 14, ranked by probability.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-143)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Game: Royals vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Detroit's Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 62.1% gives this play an edge of 3.3% at -143 odds.
Max Meyer under 4.5 strikeouts (-128)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 60.7%
- Game: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Max Meyer’s strikeouts prop shows a 60.7% probability and an 4.5% edge at -128 odds, according to our model.
Nolan McLean under 5.5 strikeouts (-106)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 60.3%
- Game: Mets vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Nolan McLean under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 60.3% probability and an 8.8% edge at -106.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 6.5 strikeouts (-122)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 58.5%
- Game: Mets vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 58.5% probability and an edge of 3.6% at -122 odds.
Mick Abel under 4.5 strikeouts (+124)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 51.6%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Mick Abel under 4.5 strikeouts for Minnesota, showing an edge of 7.0% at +124 odds.
Michael Harris II over 1.5 bases (+138)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 51.6%
- Game: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Michael Harris II’s bases prop shows an edge of 9.6% at +138 odds, supported by a 51.6% probability according to our model.
Austin Riley over 1.5 bases (+133)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Game: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Austin Riley over 1.5 bases for Atlanta, with a 51.3% probability and a 8.3% edge at +133 odds.
Matt Olson over 1.5 bases (+116)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Game: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
The data shows value on Matt Olson over 1.5 bases, supported by a 49.7% probability at +116 odds and an edge of 3.4%.
Bryan Woo over 18.5 outs recorded (+138)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Game: Mariners vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
A 6.4% edge on the over 1.5 outs recorded line makes Bryan Woo a value play in Mariners vs. Padres, supported by a 48.4% probability at +138 odds.
Ozzie Albies over 1.5 bases (+141)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 45.5%
- Game: Marlins vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Ozzie Albies over 1.5 bases here, with a 45.5% probability and 4.0% edge at +141 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:53AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals vs. Tigers | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -143 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 62.1% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Max Meyer under 4.5 strikeouts | -128 @ DraftKings | 4.5% | 60.7% |
| Mets vs. Dodgers | Nolan McLean under 5.5 strikeouts | -106 @ FanDuel | 3.6% | 58.5% |
| Mets vs. Dodgers | Yoshinobu Yamamoto under 6.5 strikeouts | -122 @ FanDuel | 3.6% | 58.5% |
| Red Sox vs. Twins | Mick Abel under 4.5 strikeouts | +124 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 51.6% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Michael Harris II over 1.5 bases | +138 @ DraftKings | 9.6% | 51.6% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Austin Riley over 1.5 bases | +133 @ DraftKings | 8.3% | 51.3% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Matt Olson over 1.5 bases | +116 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 49.7% |
| Mariners vs. Padres | Bryan Woo over 1.5 outs recorded | +138 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 48.4% |
| Marlins vs. Braves | Ozzie Albies over 1.5 bases | +141 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 45.5% |
Conclusion
For April 14, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Framber Valdez, Max Meyer and Nolan McLean. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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