MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Sterlin Thompson [6/5/2026]

Sterlin Thompson to get a hit (-139)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 64.3%
• Game: Brewers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Colorado's Sterlin Thompson to get a hit. A probability of 64.3% gives this play an edge of 6.1% at -139 odds.

Zebby Matthews under 5.5 strikeouts (-126)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: Royals vs. Twins (8:15PM ET)

Zebby Matthews’s strikeouts prop shows a 63.3% probability and an 7.6% edge at -126 odds, according to our model.

Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Mariners vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.1% probability and a 6.3% edge at -132.

Jackson Chourio over 1.5 bases (-121)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Brewers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jackson Chourio over 1.5 bases, with a 62.8% probability and an edge of 8.1% at -121 odds.

Edmundo Sosa to get a hit (-127)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Game: White Sox vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Edmundo Sosa to get a hit for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 5.6% at -127 odds.

Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: White Sox vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Jesus Luzardo’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.9% at -118 odds, supported by a 61.0% probability according to our model.

Christian Scott under 15.5 outs recorded (-117)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Mets vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Christian Scott under 15.5 outs recorded for NY Mets, with a 60.6% probability and a 6.7% edge at -117 odds.

Anthony Kay over 15.5 outs recorded (+104)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: White Sox vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Anthony Kay over 15.5 outs recorded, supported by a 58.9% probability at +104 odds and an edge of 9.9%.

Tommy Troy over 0.5 bases (-125)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Nationals vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

A 3.0% edge on the over 15.5 bases line makes Tommy Troy a value play in Nationals vs. D-Backs, supported by a 58.6% probability at -125 odds.

Victor Scott II over 0.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 58.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)

Simulations show value on Victor Scott II over 0.5 bases here, with a 58.0% probability and 4.2% edge at -116 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, June 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:32AM ET:

Conclusion

For June 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Sterlin Thompson, Zebby Matthews and Framber Valdez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.