MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Luis Castillo [5/9/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 10, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Luis Castillo, Ernie Clement and Kyle Harrison.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Mets vs. D-Backs and Athletics vs. Orioles, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Sunday, 5/9

Sourced from 110+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 9, ranked by probability.

Luis Castillo under 2.5 walks allowed (-197)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 74.9%
• Game: Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Seattle's Luis Castillo under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 74.9% gives this play an edge of 8.5% at -197 odds.

Ernie Clement to get a hit (-215)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 70.8%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Ernie Clement’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.8% probability and an 2.6% edge at -215 odds, according to our model.

Kyle Harrison under 6.5 strikeouts (-152)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 69.3%
• Game: Yankees vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kyle Harrison under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 69.3% probability and a 9.0% edge at -152.

Merrill Kelly under 2.5 walks allowed (-161)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: Mets vs. D-Backs (7:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Merrill Kelly under 2.5 walks allowed, with a 67.8% probability and an edge of 6.1% at -161 odds.

Andres Gimenez to get a hit (-182)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Game: Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Andres Gimenez to get a hit for Toronto, showing an edge of 2.8% at -182 odds.

Anthony Kay over 3.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

Anthony Kay’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 8.0% at -144 odds, supported by a 67.1% probability according to our model.

Aaron Nola under 6.5 strikeouts (-140)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 67.0%
• Game: Rockies vs. Phillies (6:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Aaron Nola under 6.5 strikeouts for Philadelphia, with a 67.0% probability and a 8.6% edge at -140 odds.

Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded (-151)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. White Sox (7:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded, supported by a 65.5% probability at -151 odds and an edge of 5.4%.

Landen Roupp under 2.5 walks allowed (-139)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Giants (9:05PM ET)

A 6.8% edge on the under 14.5 walks allowed line makes Landen Roupp a value play in Pirates vs. Giants, supported by a 64.9% probability at -139 odds.

Spencer Strider under 3.5 earned runs (-158)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Braves vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Spencer Strider under 3.5 earned runs here, with a 64.6% probability and 3.4% edge at -158 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Luis Castillo, Ernie Clement and Kyle Harrison. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.