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MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Zac Gallen [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for April 18, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Zac Gallen, Luis Severino and Cristopher Sanchez.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Blue Jays vs. D-Backs and White Sox vs. Athletics, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Saturday, 4/18
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for April 18, ranked by probability.
Zac Gallen over 3.5 strikeouts (-158)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 69.9%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. D-Backs (8:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Arizona's Zac Gallen over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.9% gives this play an edge of 8.7% at -158 odds.
Luis Severino over 4.5 hits allowed (-160)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 67.9%
- Game: White Sox vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)
Luis Severino’s hits allowed prop shows a 67.9% probability and an 6.3% edge at -160 odds, according to our model.
Cristopher Sanchez under 6.5 strikeouts (-131)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 65.2%
- Game: Braves vs. Phillies (7:15PM ET)
The data highlights value on Cristopher Sanchez under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.2% probability and an 8.5% edge at -131.
Drew Gilbert to get a hit (-135)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 60.8%
- Game: Giants vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Drew Gilbert to get a hit, with a 60.8% probability and an edge of 3.4% at -135 odds.
Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts (-111)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 60.3%
- Game: Braves vs. Phillies (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts for Atlanta, showing an edge of 7.7% at -111 odds.
Tarik Skubal under 7.5 strikeouts (-101)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Tigers vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)
Tarik Skubal’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 8.5% at -101 odds, supported by a 58.8% probability according to our model.
Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts (+106)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Game: Royals vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts for Kansas City, with a 58.2% probability and a 9.7% edge at +106 odds.
Erick Fedde over 5.5 hits allowed (-122)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 57.9%
- Game: White Sox vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)
The data shows value on Erick Fedde over 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 57.9% probability at -122 odds and an edge of 2.9%.
Brayan Bello under 4.5 strikeouts (-115)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 56.5%
- Game: Tigers vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)
A 3.0% edge on the under 5.5 strikeouts line makes Brayan Bello a value play in Tigers vs. Red Sox, supported by a 56.5% probability at -115 odds.
Andre Pallante over 3.5 strikeouts (+116)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Astros (7:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Andre Pallante over 3.5 strikeouts here, with a 56.4% probability and 5.1% edge at +116 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, April 18, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:00AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays vs. D-Backs | Zac Gallen over 3.5 strikeouts | -158 @ DraftKings | 8.7% | 69.9% |
| White Sox vs. Athletics | Luis Severino over 4.5 hits allowed | -160 @ DraftKings | 6.3% | 67.9% |
| Braves vs. Phillies | Cristopher Sanchez under 6.5 strikeouts | -131 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 60.8% |
| Giants vs. Nationals | Drew Gilbert to get a hit | -135 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 60.8% |
| Braves vs. Phillies | Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts | -111 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 60.3% |
| Tigers vs. Red Sox | Tarik Skubal under 7.5 strikeouts | -101 @ DraftKings | 8.5% | 58.8% |
| Royals vs. Yankees | Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts | +106 @ FanDuel | 9.7% | 58.2% |
| White Sox vs. Athletics | Erick Fedde over 5.5 hits allowed | -122 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 57.9% |
| Tigers vs. Red Sox | Brayan Bello under 5.5 strikeouts | -115 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 56.5% |
| Cardinals vs. Astros | Andre Pallante over 3.5 strikeouts | +116 @ FanDuel | 5.1% | 56.4% |
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Conclusion
For April 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Zac Gallen, Luis Severino and Cristopher Sanchez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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