MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Chris Bassitt [5/28/2026]

Chris Bassitt over 3.5 strikeouts (-154)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 70.2%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model has found value on Baltimore's Chris Bassitt over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 70.2% gives this play an edge of 9.6% at -154 odds.

Davis Martin under 18.5 outs recorded (-165)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Twins vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET)

Davis Martin’s outs recorded prop shows a 65.7% probability and an 3.4% edge at -165 odds, according to our model.

Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts (-125)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Braves vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 64.9% probability and a 9.4% edge at -125.

Jack Flaherty under 6.5 strikeouts (-139)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Angels vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jack Flaherty under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 62.8% probability and an edge of 4.6% at -139 odds.

Chris Sale over 1.5 earned runs (-129)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Game: Braves vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Chris Sale over 1.5 earned runs for Atlanta, showing an edge of 5.5% at -129 odds.

Chris Sale over 4.5 hits allowed (-133)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 61.0%
• Game: Braves vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

Chris Sale’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 3.9% at -133 odds, supported by a 61.0% probability according to our model.

Tyler O'Neill to get a hit (-114)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Tyler O'Neill to get a hit for Baltimore, with a 58.7% probability and a 5.4% edge at -114 odds.

Grayson Rodriguez under 16.5 outs recorded (-108)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Game: Angels vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Grayson Rodriguez under 16.5 outs recorded, supported by a 58.5% probability at -108 odds and an edge of 6.6%.

Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-120)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Game: Braves vs. Red Sox (4:10PM ET)

A 2.7% edge on the under 16.5 strikeouts line makes Payton Tolle a value play in Braves vs. Red Sox, supported by a 57.2% probability at -120 odds.

Esmerlyn Valdez over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Game: Cubs vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Esmerlyn Valdez over 0.5 bases here, with a 56.9% probability and 2.3% edge at -120 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, May 28, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 28, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Chris Bassitt, Davis Martin and Chris Sale. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.