Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles MLB game on May 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Blue Jays
Patrick Corbin 2-1, 3.86 ERA
2
1
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 4-3, 5.51 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Blue Jays
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 1
Orioles
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blue Jays
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jackson Holliday grounds out to first base to Vladimir Guerrero.
Quick Box Score
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Springer DH5110001.2000.600
2 N. Lukes RF3010000.3330.666
3 V. Guerrero 1B3000000.0000.250
4 D. Varsho CF3000010.0000.250
5 K. Okamoto 3B3000001.0000.250
6 Y. Piñango LF0001010.0001.000
7 E. Clement 2B4010001.2500.750
8 A. Giménez SS4111101.2501.250
9 B. Valenzuela C2000020.0000.500
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward DH3020010.6671.417
2 G. Henderson SS4000001.0000.000
3 A. Rutschman C4010000.2500.500
4 P. Alonso 1B4010002.2500.500
5 W. Wilson 3B1000000.0000.000
6 L. Taveras CF4010001.2500.500
7 C. Cowser RF2000000.0000.000
8 J. Holliday 2B4010001.2500.500
9 B. Alexander LF3010001.3331.000

Blue Jays vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blue Jays vs. Orioles
  • Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026
  • Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Blue Jays 46¢, Orioles 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blue Jays: 46%
  • Orioles: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blue Jays a win probability of 46%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.