Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Pirates MLB game on May 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Colin Rea 4-3, 4.83 ERA
7
2
PNC Park
Pirates
Paul Skenes 6-4, 3.00 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 1 7 8 0
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Pirates
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Spencer Horwitz flies out to deep right field to Seiya Suzuki.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4110012.2500.650
2 N. Hoerner 2B5010000.2000.400
3 M. Busch 1B3200022.0000.400
4 A. Bregman 3B5211001.2000.400
5 I. Happ LF5132101.6001.800
6 S. Suzuki RF5122002.4000.800
7 M. Conforto DH0000010.0001.000
8 M. Amaya C3000012.0000.250
9 D. Swanson SS3000012.0000.250
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Horwitz 1B3000020.0000.400
2 B. Lowe 2B3000003.0000.250
3 B. Reynolds DH3121110.6672.750
4 O. Cruz CF3000011.0000.250
5 J. Garcia LF4110001.2500.500
6 J. Mangum RF4010001.2500.500
7 T. Callihan 3B2011010.5001.667
8 J. Triolo SS4010001.2500.500
9 H. Davis C4000001.0000.000

Cubs vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cubs vs. Pirates
  • Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs 39¢, Pirates 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cubs: 41%
  • Pirates: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 41%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at PNC Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.