Brewers vs. Rays Game 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Rays MLB World Series game on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski 1-0, 2.70 ERA
vs.
Tropicana Field
Rays
Drew Rasmussen 2-0, 2.19 ERA
Tropicana Field
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Brewers
    52.7%
    NovigNovig
  • Rays
    47.3%
    NovigNovig
Weather Forecast
Last Updated: October 28, 2026, 7:50 AM ET
Clear weather icon
76°FClear
  • RoofFixed
  • Humidity72%
  • Wind speed19mph
  • Cloud cover0%
  • Dew point67°F
  • Wind directionNE

Brewers vs. Rays prediction & analysis

Game 5 overview: MLB World Series

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:00PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field
  • Probable pitchers: Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers), Drew Rasmussen (Rays)

Current betting odds

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    Dimers’ win probabilities

    • Brewers: 53.0%
    • Rays: 47.0%

    Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

    Our Prediction: Who Wins?

    After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 53.0%, while the Rays have a win probability of 47.0%.

    Summary

    According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Wednesday.

    Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

    Our Brewers vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

    For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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    For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.