Jun 17, 2026
Giants vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/17/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +508 odds [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, June 17, 2026, feature Nick Kurtz as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 17, 2026
See which hitters join Kurtz on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +508.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 23.4% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 22.1% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.8% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 20.4% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 19.2% |
| Seiya Suzuki (Cubs) | 19.2% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 18.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 18.9% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 18.6% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) | 18.5% |
Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.4% chance to go yard, followed by Shea Langeliers (22.1%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.8%).
Michael Busch and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [6/17/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Michael Busch (Cubs) to hit a home run
- Probability: 20.4%
- Odds: +508
- Edge: 4.0%
- Game: Rockies vs. Cubs (8:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Sean Sullivan
Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Chicago slugger Michael Busch rates as a value play at +508 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.0% edge.
Set to face Sean Sullivan in tonight's Rockies-Cubs matchup, the data supports Busch as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 17, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Michael Busch who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +508 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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