Jun 5, 2026
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Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +1200 odds [4/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, April 1, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 1, 2026
See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1200.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.2% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 21.8% |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 17.5% |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 17.3% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.3% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 17.2% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.2% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 16.6% |
| Adolis Garcia (Phillies) | 16.6% |
| Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) | 16.4% |
Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.2% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.8%) and Vladimir Guerrero (17.5%).
Fernando Tatis and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [4/1/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.6%
- Odds: +1200
- Edge: 3.9%
- Game: Angels vs. Cubs (2:20 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Yusei Kikuchi
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Pete Crow-Armstrong rates as a value play at +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.9% edge.
Set to face Yusei Kikuchi in tonight's Angels-Cubs matchup, the data supports Crow-Armstrong as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of nine home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, April 1, 2026]
- Angels vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Wednesday)
- Giants vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For April 1, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani and Vladimir Guerrero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Pete Crow-Armstrong who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +1200 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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