...
...
Read Article
Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Ben Rice [4/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, April 7, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for April 7, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1020.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 25.1% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 23.3% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 22.9% |
| Christian Walker (Astros) | 19.9% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 19.8% |
| Isaac Paredes (Astros) | 18.9% |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 18.8% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.3% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.7% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.7% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.1% chance to go deep, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (23.3%) and Yordan Alvarez (22.9%).
Christian Walker and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [4/7/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Jac Caglianone (Royals) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.3%
- Odds: +1020
- Edge: 3.4%
- Game: Royals vs. Guardians (1:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Gavin Williams
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Kansas City slugger Jac Caglianone rates as a value play at +1020 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.4% edge.
Set to face Gavin Williams in tonight's Royals-Guardians matchup, the data supports Caglianone as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to a total of three home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
For more, check out today's FanDuel Dinger Tuesday Home Run picks.
Conclusion
For April 7, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jac Caglianone who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.4% edge at +1020 odds.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure