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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [7/9/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 9, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

This is calculated. Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

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Home run predictions for July 9, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 24.8%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.2%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 20.7%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.8% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.2%) and Giancarlo Stanton (20.7%).

Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani features in today's home run predictions on Wednesday, July 9, 2025.

Wednesday's home run picks [7/9/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Danny Jansen (Rays) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 14.6%
  • Odds: +800
  • Edge: 3.4%
  • Game: Rays vs. Tigers (5:10PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Reese Olson

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Tampa Bay slugger Danny Jansen offers serious value at +800 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Reese Olson on the mound for the Tigers, Jansen shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 96 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Dimers Pro has 96 home run picks for Wednesday

MLB schedule for today [Wednesday, July 9, 2025]

Conclusion

For July 9, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Danny Jansen who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 3.4% edge at +800 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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