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Home run predictions for Saturday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [7/12/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Saturday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, July 12, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

We don't guess. Saturday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

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Home run predictions for July 12, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 23.1%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.6%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 21.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.1% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.6%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.3%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani appears in our home run predictions on Saturday, July 12, 2025.

Saturday's home run picks [7/12/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 16.2%
  • Odds: +750
  • Edge: 4.5%
  • Game: Dodgers vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)
  • Pitching matchup: Landen Roupp

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Los Angeles slugger Teoscar Hernandez offers standout value at +750 with Bet365, showing an edge of 4.5%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Landen Roupp in tonight's Dodgers-Giants matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Hernandez has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Saturday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 113 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Dimers Pro has 113 home run picks for Saturday

MLB schedule for today [Saturday, July 12, 2025]

Conclusion

For July 12, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Teoscar Hernandez who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 4.5% edge at +750 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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